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Obama Holds Growing Lead in Oregon

Barack Obama now has a 13-point lead over John McCain in Oregon, according to the latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey in the state.

Nationally, Obama has opened a steady lead in both the Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll and the Electoral College projections.

Obama has a 23-point lead among unaffiliated voters in the state.

Men give the edge to the Democrat by 12 points, women by 14 (see crosstabs).

Fifty-seven percent (57%) have a favorable opinion of Obama, while 42% regard him unfavorably. McCain is viewed favorably by 50%, unfavorably by 49%.

New polling on the presidential race was released this week from the closely-contested states of Virginia, North Carolina, Ohio, Florida and Missouri. See an overview of the state polls and the latest Electoral College projections. A total of 270 Electoral Votes are needed to win the White House (see 50-State Summary).

Recent statewide presidential polls also have been released for Arizona, California,Colorado,Hawaii, Kentucky, Kansas, Maine,Maryland, Michigan, Minnesota, Mississippi,Montana, Nebraska,Nevada,New Hampshire,New Mexico , Pennsylvania,Tennessee, Texas and Washington. Demographic crosstabs for all state polling are available for Premium Members . Learn More .

Forty percent (40%) of Oregon voters say the economy is the most important issue in this year’s election, and 14% cite fiscal issues as most important. Twenty percent (20%) rank national security as number one.

Over half (53%) disagree with the $700 billion taxpayer-backed bailout plan recently approved by Congress. Just 23% agree with it. But 31% think it will help the economy, 25% say it will hurt, and 23% say it will have no impact.

A plurality (47%) say lower taxes are better to spur economic growth, but 55% say Obama’s plan to raise taxes on those earning more than $250,000 a year will be good for the economy.

Forty-one percent (41%) say raising capital gains taxes will be bad for the economy, while 29% say it’s a good move. Seventeen percent (17%) say it will have no impact.

Just over one out of three (34%) say this year’s presidential campaign has been more negative than previous ones. Fourteen percent (14%) say it’s been more positive, and 52% rate it about the same as in previous years.

Fifty-one percent (51%) say the tone of Obama’s campaign has been generally positive, while 50% rate McCain’s campaign as generally negative. Half of Oregon voters (50%) also believe it is possible for a candidate to win an election without criticizing his or her opponent.

Twenty-five percent (25%) of Oregon voters give President Bush earns good or excellent marks for job performance, while 56% say he is doing a poor job.

State polling data has been released this week from Delaware, Florida,Illinois, Kansas, Massachusetts, Missouri, New Mexico, North Carolina, Ohio, and Virginia.

See survey questions and toplines. Crosstabs are available for Premium Members only.

This telephone survey of 500 Likely Voters was conducted by Rasmussen Reports on October 14, 2008. The margin of sampling error for the survey is +/- 4 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence.

See Methodology.


Oregon Trends: McCain vs. Obama

Date

McCain

Obama

10/30/2008

42%

54%

41%

54%

43%

54%

47%

51%

37%

47%

37%

46%

06/11/2008

38%

46%

38%

52%

42%

48%

40%

49%


Favorable Ratings for Presidential Candidates in Oregon

 

McCain

Obama

Very Favorable

27%

43%

Somewhat Favorable

28%

15%

Somewhat Unfavorable

24%

10%

Very Unfavorable

20%

29%

Not Sure

2%

2%


Rasmussen Reports - Electoral College Balance of Power Summary

160

260

118


Rasmussen Reports is an electronic publishing firm specializing in the collection, publication, and distribution of public opinion polling information.

The Rasmussen Reports ElectionEdge™ Premium Service for Election 2008 offers the most comprehensive public opinion coverage ever provided for a Presidential election.

Scott Rasmussen, president of Rasmussen Reports, has been an independent pollster for more than a decade.