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McCain, Obama, Still Just a Point Apart in Ohio

In Ohio, John McCain and Barack Obama are locked in a competitive race that can’t get much closer.

The latest Fox News/Rasmussen Reports telephone survey in the Buckeye State finds McCain with 48% of the vote, Obama with 47%, and another 4% of voters undecided. Those results are similar to a Rasmussen Reports telephone survey from the middle of last week. One week ago, the previous Fox News/Rasmussen Reports telephone survey found McCain enjoying a 50% to 46% advantage.

Over the past week, Obama gained ground in all five battleground states included in the Fox News/Rasmussen Reports polling this week.

In Ohio, 55% have a favorable opinion of McCain while 52% say the same about Obama.

McCain leads by eleven among white voters in the state but trails 81% to 15% among all other voters. Obama leads among voters under 40 while McCain has the edge among older voters. Obama leads among those who earn less than $40,000 a year while McCain leads among those with higher incomes (full crosstabs available for Premium Members.

(Want a free daily e-mail update? If it's in the news, it's in our polls).

Ohio, with its 20 Electoral College votes, a classic swing state. George W. Bush carried it in both 2000 and 2004, but Democrat Bill Clinton won Ohio in the two previous presidential elections. Rasmussen Markets data shows that McCain is currently given a % chance of carrying Ohio this November. At the time this poll was released, Ohio was listed as a “Toss-Up” in the Rasmussen Reports Balance of Power Calculator. NOTE: Factors other than the latest Rasmussen Reports poll impact the Balance of Power ratings. The current status is indicated on the table in the upper right-hand corner of this article.

Rasmussen Reports and Fox News Channel jointly release a series of battleground state polls every Monday at 6 p.m. Eastern. See overview of all polling released this week with results from Virginia, Florida, Colorado, Ohio and Pennsylvania. Additional state polls are released each day at 5 p.m. Eastern. Demographic crosstabs for all state polling data are available for Premium Members. Learn More.

The Rasmussen daily Presidential Tracking Poll is released each morning at 9:30 Eastern.

See survey questions and toplines. Crosstabs are available for Premium Members only.

Ohio Toss-Up

Latest RR Poll

RR Poll Avg.

"538" Avg.

RR Mkts.

In Trade

McCain (R)

49%

48%

45%

Obama (D)

49%

48%

48%

This telephone survey of 500 Likely Voters was conducted by Rasmussen Reports September 28, 2008. The margin of sampling error for the survey is +/- 4.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence.

See Methodology.


Ohio Trends: McCain vs. Obama

Date

McCain

Obama

11/02/2008

49%

49%

10/26/2008

45%

49%

10/19/2008

49%

47%

10/14/2008

49%

49%

10/12/2008

47%

49%

10/05/2008

48%

47%

09/28/2008

48%

47%

09/24/2008

47%

46%

09/21/2008

50%

46%

09/14/2008

48%

45%

09/08/2008

51%

44%

08/18/2008

45%

41%

08/21/2008

46%

40%

06/17/2008

44%

43%

05/14/2008

45%

44%

04/08/2008

47%

40%

03/13/2008

46%

40%

02/19/2008

42%

41%


Favorable Ratings for Presidential Candidates in Ohio

 

McCain

Obama

Very Favorable

36%

40%

Somewhat Favorable

21%

10%

Somewhat Unfavorable

19%

11%

Very Unfavorable

20%

37%

Not Sure

3%

3%


Rasmussen Reports - Electoral College Balance of Power Summary

Republicans

160

Democrats

173

Toss-Ups & Leaners

205


About Rasmussen Reports

Rasmussen Reports is an electronic publishing firm specializing in the collection, publication, and distribution of public opinion polling information.

The Rasmussen Reports ElectionEdge™ Premium Service for Election 2008 offers the most comprehensive public opinion coverage ever provided for a Presidential election.

Scott Rasmussen, president of Rasmussen Reports, has been an independent pollster for more than a decade.