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50% of New York Democrats Say Clinton Should Drop Out of White House Race

Fifty percent (50%) of New York Democrats say it’s time for Senator Hillary Clinton to drop out of the race for the White House. Just 43% believe she should keep going. The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey also found that most New York Republicans—52%--want Clinton to keep striving for the nomination. Overall, among all Empire State voters, 45% believe she should drop out while 43% disagree. (See Video)

Just 16% of New York Democrats think Obama should drop out of the race.

Forty-seven percent (47%) of New York voters believe Obama is the stronger general election candidate. Forty-three percent (43%) believe Clinton would be better.

The survey also found that Obama is now viewed more favorably than Clinton in New York. Sixty-two percent (62%) of New York voters have a favorable opinion of Barack Obama while 55% give Hillary Clinton such positive reviews. For Obama, those ratings are up four points from a month ago while Clinton’s are down three points. John McCain, the presumptive Republican nominee, is viewed positively by 44%. His ratings are down six points from the previous survey.

In the race for the White House, both Democrats are safely ahead of McCain in New York. Clinton leads McCain 59% to 29% while Obama leads 52% to 33%. These figures are essentially unchanged from a month ago. Nationally, the race remains competitive in the Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll.

Rasmussen Markets shows that Democrats are currently given a % chance of winning the Empire State’s thirty-three Electoral College Votes this fall. John Kerry won the state for the Democrats in 2004 by eighteen points. Four years earlier, Al Gore won the state by twenty-five percentage points. Immediately prior to release of this poll, New York was rated as “Safely Democratic” in the Rasmussen Reports Balance of Power Calculator.

Sixty-five percent (65%) of New York voters believe that it is more important to get the troops home from Iraq than it is to win the war. Just 30% disagree and say winning the war is more important.

If McCain is elected, 40% say it is at least somewhat likely that the U.S. will win the war in Iraq. Just 20% think victory is likely with a President Obama. However, 53% think that it’s likely that an Obama Administration would get the troops home within four years. Just 34% believe that would happen with a McCain Presidency.

Just 22% of New York voters say that George W. Bush is doing a good or excellent job as President. Sixty-four percent (64%) say he is doing a poor job.

The survey was conducted in partnership with Fox Television Stations, Inc.

See survey questions and toplines. Crosstabs available for Premium Members only.

New York Safe Democratic

Latest RR Poll

RR Poll Avg.

"538" Avg.

RR Mkts .

In Trade

McCain (R)

37%

37%

35%

Obama (D)

57%

55%

59%

This telephone survey of 500 Likely Voters was conducted by Rasmussen Reports May 28, 2008. The margin of sampling error for the survey is +/- 4 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence.

See Methodology.


New York Trends: McCain vs. Clinton

Date

McCain

Clinton

05/28/2008

29%

59%

04/29/2008

31%

60%

03/11/2008

38%

50%

New York Trends: McCain vs. Obama

Date

McCain

Obama

10/14/2008

37%

57%

09/15/2008

42%

55%

08/04/2008

32%

52%

06/30/2008

29%

60%

05/28/2008

33%

52%

04/29/2008

35%

52%

03/11/2008

38%

51%


Favorable Ratings for Presidential Candidates in New York

 

McCain

Obama

Very Favorable

22%

39%

Somewhat Favorable

27%

24%

Somewhat Unfavorable

24%

15%

Very Unfavorable

23%

19%

Not Sure

5%

3%


Rasmussen Reports - Electoral College Balance of Power Summary

Republicans

160

Democrats

173

Toss-Ups & Leaners

205


About Rasmussen Reports

Rasmussen Reports is an electronic publishing firm specializing in the collection, publication, and distribution of public opinion polling information.

The Rasmussen Reports ElectionEdge™ Premium Service for Election 2008 offers the most comprehensive public opinion coverage ever provided for a Presidential election.

Scott Rasmussen, president of Rasmussen Reports, has been an independent pollster for more than a decade.