In the race for New Mexico’s Electoral College votes, Barack Obama has a five-point advantage over John McCain. The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey shows Obama attracting 46% of the vote while John McCain earns 41%. Last month, Obama enjoyed an eight-point advantage. Two months ago, it was Obama by nine.
Both candidates are viewed favorably by 57% of the state’s voters. Obama gets negative reviews from 41%, McCain from 39%. Reflecting a pattern seen across the country, opinions are more strongly held about Obama. In New Mexico, 31% have a Very Favorable opinion of the Democratic hopeful while just 21% say the same about his Republican rival. Both are viewed Very Unfavorably by 24%.
In New Mexico, Obama attracts 70% of the vote from Democrats and has a five-point edge among unaffiliated voters. McCain earns the vote from 82% of Republicans. McCain leads by thirteen among voters over 65 but trails among younger voters.
In numbers that are virtually identical to the national average, 49% of New Mexico voters believe most reporters are trying to help Obama win the election. Just 10% believe they are trying to help McCain.
Fifty-four percent (54%) believe that the U.S. and its allies are winning the War on Terror while just 16% believe the terrorists have the edge. Those numbers are also close to the national average. Overall, confidence in the War on Terror is the highest it has been in at least four years.
Thirty-four percent (34%) of New Mexico voters say that economic issues are most important while 30% view national security issues as the highest priority.
See survey questions and toplines. Crosstabs available for Premium Members only.
This telephone survey of 700 Likely Voters was conducted by Rasmussen Reports July 24, 2008. The margin of sampling error for the survey is +/- 4 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence.
See Methodology.
|
New Mexico Trends: McCain vs. Obama |
||
|---|---|---|
|
Date |
McCain |
Obama |
|
10/28/2008 |
44% |
54% |
|
42% |
55% |
|
|
44% |
49% |
|
|
49% |
47% |
|
|
41% |
47% |
|
|
41% |
46% |
|
|
39% |
47% |
|
|
41% |
50% |
|
|
42% |
45% |
|
|
44% |
44% |
|
|
Favorable Ratings for Presidential Candidates in New Mexico |
||
|---|---|---|
|
McCain |
Obama |
|
|
Very Favorable |
31% |
46% |
|
Somewhat Favorable |
18% |
11% |
|
Somewhat Unfavorable |
18% |
9% |
|
Very Unfavorable |
32% |
33% |
|
Not Sure |
1% |
2% |
|
Rasmussen Reports - Electoral College Balance of Power Summary |
|
|---|---|
|
160 |
|
|
260 |
|
|
118 |
|
Rasmussen Reports is an electronic publishing firm specializing in the collection, publication, and distribution of public opinion polling information.
The Rasmussen Reports ElectionEdge™ Premium Service for Election 2008 offers the most comprehensive public opinion coverage ever provided for a Presidential election.
Scott Rasmussen, president of Rasmussen Reports, has been an independent pollster for more than a decade.
