While John McCain has gained ground on Barack Obama in a number of states over the past month, little has changed in New Mexico.
The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey shows Obama ahead 47% to McCain's 41%. A month ago, it was Obama by five percentage points. The stability of the race is emphasized by the fact that Obama’s support has been at 46% or 47% of the vote in three straight surveys. McCain has been at 41% for three of the past four months.
When “leaners” are included in the current New Mexico totals, it’s Obama 48%, McCain 44%. Leaners are those who don’t initially express a preference for one of the major candidates. But, when asked a follow-up question, they do.
Democrat Tom Udall leads Republican Steve Pearce 51% to 41% for the seat being vacated by New Mexico's longtime GOP Senator Pete Domenici, but the race has tightened considerably in the past month.
Sixty-three percent (63%) of New Mexico voters say it is more important to find new sources of energy than it is to cut back on the amount of energy we use. Thirty percent (30%) disagree and say reducing consumption is most important. Those figures are very close to the national average. Voters nationally believe that McCain’s priority is to find more energy while Obama is more interested in reducing consumption.
Fifty-one percent (51%) say media bias is a bigger problem in politics than large campaign contributions. Thirty-nine percent (39%) hold the opposite view. Forty-two percent (42%) say lobbyists and contributors have too much influence on McCain. An identical percentage—42%--say the same about Obama. Those figures are also close to the national average.
While President Bush carried New Mexico four years ago, just 35% now say he is doing a good or excellent job.
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This telephone survey of 700 Likely Voters was conducted by Rasmussen Reports August 20, 2008. The margin of sampling error for the survey is +/- 4 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence.
See Methodology.
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New Mexico Trends: McCain vs. Obama |
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|---|---|---|
|
Date |
McCain |
Obama |
|
10/28/2008 |
44% |
54% |
|
42% |
55% |
|
|
44% |
49% |
|
|
49% |
47% |
|
|
41% |
47% |
|
|
41% |
46% |
|
|
39% |
47% |
|
|
41% |
50% |
|
|
42% |
45% |
|
|
44% |
44% |
|
|
Favorable Ratings for Presidential Candidates in New Mexico |
||
|---|---|---|
|
McCain |
Obama |
|
|
Very Favorable |
31% |
46% |
|
Somewhat Favorable |
18% |
11% |
|
Somewhat Unfavorable |
18% |
9% |
|
Very Unfavorable |
32% |
33% |
|
Not Sure |
1% |
2% |
|
Rasmussen Reports - Electoral College Balance of Power Summary |
|
|---|---|
|
160 |
|
|
260 |
|
|
118 |
|
Rasmussen Reports is an electronic publishing firm specializing in the collection, publication, and distribution of public opinion polling information.
The Rasmussen Reports ElectionEdge™ Premium Service for Election 2008 offers the most comprehensive public opinion coverage ever provided for a Presidential election.
Scott Rasmussen, president of Rasmussen Reports, has been an independent pollster for more than a decade.