Friday, October 31, 2008

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The presidential race in New Hampshire has grown closer, with Barack Obama now leading John McCain 50% to 46%, according to the latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey in the state.

At the beginning of the month, the Democrat held a ten point lead over his opponent, which shifted New Hampshire from “toss-up” to “leans Democratic” in the Rasmussen Balance of Power Calculator. In the eight polls prior to October, Obama has held the lead in five, McCain in three.

Voters in New Hampshire are divided on who they trust more on the top issue of the economy, with Obama holding the edge, 46% to 45%. While 43% agree with Obama’s idea that spreading the wealth around would be good for everybody, 44% disagree.

Voters trust McCain more on national security and the War on Terror by a 53% to 43% margin.

Regardless of who they want to win, 46% of voters in New Hampshire think Obama will win the Granite State, while 39% say the winner will be McCain.

Obama now leads 51% to 42% among unaffiliated voters in New Hampshire. He was up 55% to 37% lead three weeks ago. McCain leads by ten among men, while women favor Obama by nineteen (see full demographic crosstabs).

Both candidates are viewed unfavorably by 43% of voters in New Hampshire. McCain is viewed favorably by 56%, Obama by 55%.

Not even half of New Hampshire voters (46%) say elections are generally fair to voters, but most are confident their vote will be counted and the right candidate declared the winner.

New presidential polling data also has been released this week from Colorado, Florida, Georgia, Kentucky, Minnesota, Missouri, North Carolina, Ohio, South Carolina, Tennessee, Texas, Virginia, Washington and West Virginia. A total of 270 Electoral Votes are needed to win the White House (see 50-State Summary).

See survey questions and toplines. Crosstabs are available to Premium Members only.