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Nevada: Obama By Five

In Nevada, Barack Obama continues to lead John McCain, the economic rescue plan is wildly unpopular, and voters are evenly divided on whether you can win the White House without criticizing your opponent.

The Democratic candidate now leads by five percentage points, 50% to 45%. At the beginning of October, Obama was ahead by four points, his first lead in the state since July.

Obama is viewed favorably by 53% of the state’s voters, McCain by 52%. Obama’s ratings are unchanged from the previous survey while McCain's are down two points.

Just 19% agree with the economic rescue plan passed by Congress while 59% take the opposite view. Only 26% believe it will help the economy, 27% say it will hurt, and 29% say the $700 billion plan will have no impact.

Twelve percent (12%) say this year’s election is more positive than most, 37% say it’s more negative, and 50% say it’s about the same as most recent elections. Forty-two percent (42%) say it’s possible to win without criticizing your opponent, but 44% disagree.

Thirty-nine percent (39%) say that the tone of Obama’s campaign has been generally positive while 31% say negative.

For the McCain campaign, the numbers are 14% positive and 51% negative.

Nationally, Obama has opened a stable lead over McCain in both the Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll and the Electoral College projections.

While most Nevada voters cast a ballot for President Bush four years ago, just 25% now say he is doing a good or an excellent job. Fifty-three percent (53%) say he is doing a poor job.

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This telephone survey of 700 Likely Voters was conducted by Rasmussen Reports October 16, 2008. The margin of sampling error for the survey is +/- 4 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence.


Nevada Trends: McCain vs. Obama

Date

McCain

Obama

10/27/2008

46%

50%

45%

50%

47%

51%

49%

46%

45%

42%

40%

42%

45%

42%

46%

40%

48%

43%

41%

45%

38%

50%


Favorable Ratings For Presidential Candidates in Nevada

 

McCain

Obama

Very Favorable

30%

41%

Somewhat Favorable

23%

10%

Somewhat Unfavorable

20%

11%

Very Unfavorable

25%

37%

Not Sure

2%

1%


Rasmussen Reports - Electoral College Balance of Power Summary

Republicans

160

Democrats

173

Toss-Ups & Leaners

205


Rasmussen Reports is an electronic publishing firm specializing in the collection, publication, and distribution of public opinion polling information.

The Rasmussen Reports ElectionEdge™ Premium Service for Election 2008 offers the most comprehensive public opinion coverage ever provided for a Presidential election.

Scott Rasmussen, president of Rasmussen Reports, has been an independent pollster for more than a decade.