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Nevada: McCain 48% Obama 43%

The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey in Nevada shows John McCain leading both potential Democratic opponents in the race for the state’s Electoral College. McCain has a five-point edge over Barack Obama, 48% to 43%, and a double digit lead over Hillary Clinton, 49% to 38%.

In both match-ups, McCain has a solid lead among men and is essentially even among women. McCain has far more support from Republicans than either Democrat enjoys from their partisan base.

These figures reflect a significant improvement for McCain compared to a month ago. At that time, Obama had a four-point advantage over McCain while the race with Clinton was a toss-up. Two months ago, Obama enjoyed a twelve-point lead over McCain.

Rasmussen Markets data immediately prior to release of this poll showed Nevada to be very competitive. These results are updated on a 24/7 basis by market participants and current results show that Republicans are given a % chance of winning Nevada this November. Expectations for Democrats are at %.

Nevada has cast its Electoral College Votes for the winning candidate in seven straight Presidential Elections. The last four have been very competitive with nobody carrying the state by more than four percent of the popular vote. As the poll is released, Nevada is considered a “Toss-Up” in the Rasmussen Reports Balance of Power Calculator.

McCain is now viewed favorably by 56% of voters in the state, up from 49% a month ago. Both Democrats are viewed less favorably than they were a month ago. Obama currently gets positive reviews from 47% of the state’s voters, down from 53% in March. Clinton’s latest numbers are 42% favorable, down from 49% a month ago.

In 2004, George W. Bush attracted just over 50% of the vote in Nevada. Today, just 31% say he is doing a good or excellent job as President. Forty-eight percent (48%) say he is doing a poor job.

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Nevada Toss-Up

Latest RR Poll

RR Poll Avg.

"538" Avg.

RR Mkts.

In Trade

McCain (R)

46%

46%

46%

Obama (D)

50%

50%

48%

This telephone survey of 500 Likely Voters was conducted by Rasmussen Reports April 21, 2008. The margin of sampling error for the survey is +/- 4 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence.

See Methodology


Nevada Trends: McCain vs. Clinton

Date

McCain

Clinton

05/20/2008

41%

46%

04/21/2008

49%

38%

03/19/2008

43%

44%

02/12/2008

49%

40%

Nevada Trends: McCain vs. Obama

Date

McCain

Obama

10/27/2008

46%

50%

10/16/2008

45%

50%

10/02/2008

47%

51%

09/11/2008

49%

46%

08/11/2008

45%

42%

07/16/2008

40%

42%

06/18/2008

45%

42%

05/20/2008

46%

40%

04/21/2008

48%

43%

03/19/2008

41%

45%

02/12/2008

38%

50%


Favorable Ratings For Presidential Candidates in Nevada

 

McCain

Obama

Very Favorable

30%

41%

Somewhat Favorable

23%

10%

Somewhat Unfavorable

20%

11%

Very Unfavorable

25%

37%

Not Sure

2%

1%


Rasmussen Reports - Electoral College Balance of Power Summary

Republicans

160

Democrats

173

Toss-Ups & Leaners

205


About Rasmussen Reports

Rasmussen Reports is an electronic publishing firm specializing in the collection, publication, and distribution of public opinion polling information.

The Rasmussen Reports ElectionEdge™ Premium Service for Election 2008 offers the most comprehensive public opinion coverage ever provided for a Presidential election.

Scott Rasmussen, president of Rasmussen Reports, has been an independent pollster for more than a decade.