The race for Nevada’s Electoral College votes remains close, but for the fourth time in the last five months John McCain has a slight advantage. The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey shows McCain attracting 45% of the vote while Obama earns 42%.
When “leaners” are included in the current Nevada totals, McCain is on top 48% to 45%.
McCain is now viewed favorably by 58% of voters in Nevada, down two points from a month ago.
Obama currently gets positive reviews from 47% of the state’s voters, down five points from July.
As always in this election season, opinions about Obama are more firmly established. He is viewed Very Favorably by 30% and Very Unfavorably by 35%. For McCain, the numbers are 20% Very Favorable and 21% Very Unfavorable.
McCain is now supported by 85% of Republicans, up nine percentage points from a month ago. Obama currently attracts 79% support from Democrats, unchanged over the past month. Unaffiliated voters are evenly divided.
Individual polls can sometimes overstate volatility in a race, especial when the results have a four-and-a-half percentage point margin of sampling error. One way of addressing this is to look at a rolling average of three consecutive polls. Using this approach, McCain leads Obama by a statistically insignificant 43% to 42% margin. A month ago, McCain led by three points in the three-poll average.
Mirroring the national mood, Nevada voters overwhelmingly say it’s more important to find new sources of energy than to reduce the amount of energy that Americans consume. Just 23% say it’s more important to reduce consumption.
Most Nevada voters believe that the United States and its allies are winning the War on Terror. Just 22% believe the terrorists are winning. Nationally, confidence in the War on Terror is at the highest levels in the past four years.
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This telephone survey of 700 Likely Voters was conducted by Rasmussen Reports August 11, 2008. The margin of sampling error for the survey is +/- 4.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence.
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Nevada Trends: McCain vs. Obama |
||
|---|---|---|
|
Date |
McCain |
Obama |
|
10/27/2008 |
46% |
50% |
|
45% |
50% |
|
|
47% |
51% |
|
|
49% |
46% |
|
|
45% |
42% |
|
|
40% |
42% |
|
|
45% |
42% |
|
|
46% |
40% |
|
|
48% |
43% |
|
|
41% |
45% |
|
|
38% |
50% |
|
|
Favorable Ratings For Presidential Candidates in Nevada |
||
|---|---|---|
|
McCain |
Obama |
|
|
Very Favorable |
30% |
41% |
|
Somewhat Favorable |
23% |
10% |
|
Somewhat Unfavorable |
20% |
11% |
|
Very Unfavorable |
25% |
37% |
|
Not Sure |
2% |
1% |
|
Rasmussen Reports - Electoral College Balance of Power Summary |
|
|---|---|
|
160 |
|
|
260 |
|
|
118 |
|
Rasmussen Reports is an electronic publishing firm specializing in the collection, publication, and distribution of public opinion polling information.
The Rasmussen Reports ElectionEdge™ Premium Service for Election 2008 offers the most comprehensive public opinion coverage ever provided for a Presidential election.
Scott Rasmussen, president of Rasmussen Reports, has been an independent pollster for more than a decade.
