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Nebraska: McCain 50% Obama 39%

The first Rasmussen Reports Election 2008 survey in Nebraska shows John McCain leading Barack Obama by eleven percentage points. The telephone of 500 Likely Voters found McCain attracting 50% of the vote while Obama earns support from 39%.

The candidates are even among the youngest voters in the state but McCain leads among voters over 30. McCain has a solid lead among voters who earn $20,000 to $75,000 a year. Obama is essentially even with McCain among voters who earn less than $20,000 or more than $75,000 a year. As in other states, Obama leads among those who attend church rarely, never, or only occasionally. McCain leads among those who attend services at least once a month. The Republican a more than two-to-one advantage among voters who attend services at least once a week.

McCain is viewed favorably by 61% of Nebraska voters, Obama by 49%.

Just 17% of Nebraska voters believe the United States is heading in the right direction. Seventy-seven percent (77%) say the nation has gotten off on the wrong track.

Rasmussen Markets data shows that Republicans are given a % chance to win Nebraska’s Electoral College votes in 2008. George W. Bush won the state by a 66% to 33% margin in Election 2004. Unlike most states, Nebraska does not award its five Electoral Votes on a winner-take-all basis. The statewide winner gets two Electoral votes and the other three are awarded based upon the winner in each Congressional District. Since the system was established in 1996, the state has never split its Electoral votes. However, if the statewide vote is close enough, it might be possible for the losing candidate to pick up one of the state’s Electoral Votes. Maine is the only other state to use this system.

At the time this poll was released, Nebraska is rated “Safely Republican” in the Rasmussen Reports Balance of Power Calculator. The race for the U.S. Senate seat also looks good for the GOP. Forty-one percent (41%) of Nebraska voters favor a federal gas tax holiday for the summer while 50% are opposed. Nationwide, voters are fairly evenly divided.

Just 32% of Nebraska voters say that the federal government needs more revenue to fund important government programs. Fifty percent (50%) disagree. Those numbers are similar to the national average.

Sixty percent (60%) of Nebraska voters are worried that the next President will raise taxes too much and harm the economy. Just 33% are worried that the next President will cut taxes so much that it harms important government programs.

By a 63% to 19% margin, Nebraska voters oppose an increase in the capital gains tax. Nationally, 65% oppose a capital gains tax hike.

Fifty-seven percent (57%) of Nebraska voters own at least $5,000 worth of stocks, bonds, and mutual funds.

Even though George W. Bush won 66% of the Nebraska vote four years ago, just 44% now believe he is doing a good or an excellent job. Forty percent (40%) say the President is doing a poor job.

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Nebraska
Likely Republican

Latest
RR Poll

RR Poll
Avg.

"538"
Avg.

RR
Mkts.

In
Trade

McCain (R)

56%

53%

57%

Obama (D)

37%

35%

36%

This telephone survey of 500 Likely Voters was conducted by Rasmussen Reports June 23, 2008. The margin of sampling error for the survey is +/- 4.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence.

See Methodology.


Nebraska Trends: McCain vs. Obama

Date

McCain

Obama

09/30/2008

56%

37%

07/28/2008

50%

32%

06/23/2008

52%

36%

05/15/2008

50%

39%

Nebraska Trends: McCain vs. Clinton

Date

McCain

Clinton

05/15/2008

57%

34%


Favorable Ratings for Presidential Candidates in Nebraska

 

McCain

Obama

Very Favorable

29%

25%

Somewhat Favorable

39%

20%

Somewhat Unfavorable

16%

21%

Very Unfavorable

16%

33%

Not Sure

1%

1%


Rasmussen Reports - Electoral College Balance of Power Summary

Republicans

160

Democrats

173

Toss-Ups & Leaners

205


About Rasmussen Reports

Rasmussen Reports is an electronic publishing firm specializing in the collection, publication, and distribution of public opinion polling information.

The Rasmussen Reports ElectionEdge™ Premium Service for Election 2008 offers the most comprehensive public opinion coverage ever provided for a Presidential election.

Scott Rasmussen, president of Rasmussen Reports, has been an independent pollster for more than a decade.