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Missouri: McCain Now Leads By Seven in Classic Swing State

John McCain leads Barack Obama by seven percentage points in the race for Missouri’s Electoral College votes.

The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey in Missouri shows John McCain attracting 48% of the vote while Barack Obama earns 41%. This is the third time in the last four months that McCain’s support has been at 47% or 48%. The one exception came in early June—McCain’s support dipped as Obama was wrapping up the Democratic Presidential nomination.

Obama has been in the 41% to 43% range for four straight months.

Last month, McCain enjoyed a five-point lead in Missouri.

When leaners are included in the current survey, McCain leads Obama 50% to 44%, little changed from a month ago. Leaners are survey participants who initially indicate no preference for either major candidate but indicate that they are leaning towards either McCain or Obama.

Fifty-five percent (55%) believe that most reporters are trying to help Obama win in November while 9% believe they are trying to help McCain. These figures are similar to the national average.

McCain is supported by 93% of Missouri Republicans and enjoys a twenty-three percentage point lead among unaffiliated voters. Obama is supported by 84% of Democrats. Premium Members can review crosstabs and see results by gender, age, ideology, party, income, and other demographics.

McCain is currently viewed favorably by 59% of Missouri voters, Obama by 53%.

Nineteen percent (19%) have a Very Favorable opinion of McCain and 16% hold a Very Unfavorable view of the presumptive Republican nominee. For Obama, the numbers are 27% Very Favorable, 29% Very Unfavorable.

Fifty-five percent (55%) say the U.S. and its allies are now winning the War on Terror. Nationally, confidence in the War on Terror is at the highest levels of the past four years.

This survey was conducted in partnership with Fox Television Stations Inc.

See survey questions and toplines. Crosstabs available for Premium Members only.

This telephone survey of 500 Likely Voters was conducted by Rasmussen Reports on August 7, 2008. The margin of sampling error for the survey is +/- 4.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence.

See Methodology.


Missouri Trends: McCain vs. Obama

Date

McCain

Obama

11/02/2008

49%

49%

47%

48%

44%

49%

46%

52%

47%

50%

47%

50%

51%

46%

48%

41%

47%

42%

42%

43%

47%

41%

53%

38%

42%

40%


Favorable Ratings for Presidential Candidates in Missouri

 

McCain

Obama

Very Favorable

35%

42%

Somewhat Favorable

21%

12%

Somewhat Unfavorable

21%

11%

Very Unfavorable

22%

34%

Not Sure

2%

1%


Rasmussen Reports - Electoral College Balance of Power Summary

160

260

118


Rasmussen Reports is an electronic publishing firm specializing in the collection, publication, and distribution of public opinion polling information.

The Rasmussen Reports ElectionEdge™ Premium Service for Election 2008 offers the most comprehensive public opinion coverage ever provided for a Presidential election.

Scott Rasmussen, president of Rasmussen Reports, has been an independent pollster for more than a decade.