John McCain continues to enjoy a modest lead over Barack Obama in the race for Missouri’s Electoral College votes.
The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey in Missouri shows the Republican presidential candidate attracting 51% of the vote while his Democratic opponent earns 45%. This is similar to results from both last month and the month before. In fact, since wrapping up the Republican nomination in early March, McCain has led Obama in every poll but one.
The sole exception came in a poll conducted on June 3, the night Obama clinched the Democratic nomination. On that night, he held a statistically insignificant one-point lead over McCain.
McCain is supported by 92% of Missouri Republicans and enjoys a 16-percentage-point lead among unaffiliated voters. Obama is supported by 88% of Democrats. (Premium Members can review demographic crosstabs).
McCain is currently viewed favorably by 58% of Missouri voters, Obama by 53%. Those numbers, too, have changed little over the past month.
As for their running mates, GOP vice presidential nominee Sarah Palin is viewed favorably by 58% of Missouri voters, a figure that includes 41% with a Very Favorable opinion. Delaware Senator Joseph Biden, the Democratic candidate for vice president, is viewed favorably by 51%, including 28% with a Very Favorable opinion.
Voters are evenly divided as to whether Palin is ready to be president—43% say yes while 42% disagree. By a 51% to 30% margin, voters say Biden is ready for the top job if necessary.
But Missouri voters are more likely to say that McCain made the right choice for vice president. Fifty-three percent (53%) of voters in the Show Me state agree with his decision while 36% disagree. Only 37% believe that, in selecting Biden, Obama made the right choice. Nearly as many—33%--say he did not.
Rasmussen Markets data shows that Republicans are currently given a % chance of winning Missouri’s 11 Electoral College Votes this fall.
Rasmussen Reports has released polls on the presidential race this week for Washington, Alaska, Michigan, Montana, Colorado, Florida, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Virginia, Idaho, New Mexico and North Dakota. Additional state poll results will be released at RasmussenReports.com each Monday at 6:00 p.m. Eastern and Tuesday-Friday at 5:00 p.m. Eastern.
The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll is released each morning at 9:30 a.m. Eastern. Other polling is released at 7:00 a.m., Noon, and 3:00 p.m. Eastern weekdays along with other updates as needed.
This survey was conducted in partnership with Fox Television Stations Inc.
See survey questions and toplines. Crosstabs available for Premium Members only.
This telephone survey of 700 Likely Voters was conducted by Rasmussen Reports on September 11, 2008. The margin of sampling error for the survey is +/- 4 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence.
See Methodology.
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Missouri Trends: McCain vs. Obama |
||
|---|---|---|
|
Date |
McCain |
Obama |
|
11/02/2008 |
49% |
49% |
|
47% |
48% |
|
|
44% |
49% |
|
|
46% |
52% |
|
|
47% |
50% |
|
|
47% |
50% |
|
|
51% |
46% |
|
|
48% |
41% |
|
|
47% |
42% |
|
|
42% |
43% |
|
|
47% |
41% |
|
|
53% |
38% |
|
|
42% |
40% |
|
|
Favorable Ratings for Presidential Candidates in Missouri |
||
|---|---|---|
|
McCain |
Obama |
|
|
Very Favorable |
35% |
42% |
|
Somewhat Favorable |
21% |
12% |
|
Somewhat Unfavorable |
21% |
11% |
|
Very Unfavorable |
22% |
34% |
|
Not Sure |
2% |
1% |
|
Rasmussen Reports - Electoral College Balance of Power Summary |
|
|---|---|
|
160 |
|
|
260 |
|
|
118 |
|
Rasmussen Reports is an electronic publishing firm specializing in the collection, publication, and distribution of public opinion polling information.
The Rasmussen Reports ElectionEdge™ Premium Service for Election 2008 offers the most comprehensive public opinion coverage ever provided for a Presidential election.
Scott Rasmussen, president of Rasmussen Reports, has been an independent pollster for more than a decade.
