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Obama Opens 15-Point Lead in Minnesota

Barack Obama has more than doubled his lead over John McCain in Minnesota. The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey in the state finds the democrat leading 56% to 41%.

Just two weeks ago, Obama held a seven-point lead in the state. The latest poll marks the highest level of support the Democrat has received since tracking of the race began in February.

Obama holds the lead among unaffiliated voters, 54% to 42%. In the last survey, the candidates were nearly tied. The Democrat leads by over twenty percentage points among women and holds a 51% to 43% among men (see full demographic crosstabs).

Sixty-nine percent (69%) are convinced Obama will win their state, while just 21% think that of McCain.

Obama is viewed favorably by 60% and unfavorably by 39% of voters in Minnesota. McCain’s ratings are 51% favorable, 48% unfavorable.

When it comes to the struggling economy, voters in Minnesota trust Obama more to handle current problems by a 54% to 42% margin. That could be partly due to the fact that 50% of voters in the state agree with Obama’s idea that spreading the wealth around is good for everybody, while 35% disagree.

Most voters in Minnesota think elections are generally fair to voters, and 92% say they are at least somewhat confident their vote will be counted on Election Day. Seventy-three percent (73%) think photo identification should be required at the polls, while 20% disagree.

While 41% of voters in Minnesota think it is more likely that legally eligible voters will be denied the change to vote, nearly the name number (39%) say it is more likely illegal voters will get the chance.

President Bush earns good or excellent reviews from just 27% of Minnesota voters, while 57% give his job performance a poor rating.

See survey questions and toplines. Crosstabs available for Premium Members only.

This telephone survey of 500 Likely Voters was conducted by Rasmussen Reports October 22, 2008. The margin of sampling error for the survey is +/- 4.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence.


Minnesota Trends: McCain vs. Obama

Date

McCain

Obama

10/28/2008

43%

55%

41%

56%

45%

52%

44%

52%

42%

46%

37%

49%

34%

52%

39%

52%

38%

53%

38%

52%

43%

47%

38%

53%


Favorable Ratings for Presidential Candidates in Minnesota

 

McCain

Obama

Very Favorable

28%

45%

Somewhat Favorable

26%

16%

Somewhat Unfavorable

25%

11%

Very Unfavorable

21%

27%

Not Sure

1%

1%


Rasmussen Reports - Electoral College Balance of Power Summary

Republicans

160

Democrats

173

Toss-Ups & Leaners

205


Rasmussen Reports is an electronic publishing firm specializing in the collection, publication, and distribution of public opinion polling information.

The Rasmussen Reports ElectionEdge™ Premium Service for Election 2008 offers the most comprehensive public opinion coverage ever provided for a Presidential election.

Scott Rasmussen, president of Rasmussen Reports, has been an independent pollster for more than a decade.