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McCain’s Lead Down to Five Points in Georgia

The race for Georgia’s Electoral College votes is getting closer.

The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey in the state shows that John McCain’s lead over Barack Obama is down to five percentage points, 51% to 46%. In September, McCain led by 11. Earlier in October, that lead had slipped to nine points.

However, while Obama continues to gain ground, this is the fourth straight poll of Georgia voters to find McCain at the 50% level of support or above. In August, McCain led Obama 50% to 43%.

Sixty-eight percent (68%) of voters in the state expect McCain to win Georgia on Election Day.

Just 36% of Georgia voters agree with Obama’s quote that when you spread the wealth around, it’s good for everyone. Fifty percent (50%) disagree.

Nationally, Obama has been gaining ground steadily in the Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll ever since the Wall Street debacle began to dominate the news. The Democratic hopeful also has a solid lead in the Electoral College projections.

Fifty-seven percent (57%) of Georgia voters have a favorable opinion of McCain, including 37% with a Very Favorable opinion.

For Obama, 48% have a favorable view, including an amazing 42% with a Very Favorable opinion. The bad news for Obama is that 51% of Georgia voters still voice an unfavorable opinion about him. Only 42% say the same about McCain.

McCain is supported by 70% of white voters, Obama by 92% of African-American voters (see full demographic crosstabs).

George W. Bush carried Georgia by double digits in 2000 and 2004. Bill Clinton won the state in 1992 but lost it to Bob Dole in 1996.

Fifty percent (50%) of Georgia voters trust McCain more than Obama when it comes to economic issues. Forty-seven percent (47%) hold the opposite view. McCain has a 10-point advantage when the topic is national security.

Fifty-eight percent (58%) of Georgia voters are Very Confident their votes will be properly counted and that the right candidate will be awarded the victory. Another 32% are Somewhat Confident of that outcome.

Seventy-seven percent (77%) believe voters should be required to show photo identification before voting.

See survey questions and toplines. Crosstabs are available to Premium Members only.

This telephone survey of 500 Likely Voters was conducted by Rasmussen Reports on October 22, 2008. The margin of sampling error for the survey is +/- 4.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence.

See Methodology.


Georgia Trends: McCain vs. Obama

Date

McCain

Obama

10/30/2008

52%

47%

51%

46%

54%

45%

54%

43%

50%

43%

48%

39%

53%

43%

51%

41%

53%

39%

53%

40%


Favorable Ratings for Presidential Candidates in Georgia

 

McCain

Obama

Very Favorable

41%

42%

Somewhat Favorable

16%

8%

Somewhat Unfavorable

17%

10%

Very Unfavorable

26%

39%

Not Sure

0%

1%


Rasmussen Reports - Electoral College Balance of Power Summary

160

260

118


Rasmussen Reports is an electronic publishing firm specializing in the collection, publication, and distribution of public opinion polling information.

The Rasmussen Reports ElectionEdge™ Premium Service for Election 2008 offers the most comprehensive public opinion coverage ever provided for a Presidential election.

Scott Rasmussen, president of Rasmussen Reports, has been an independent pollster for more than a decade.