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McCain’s Lead Down to Five Points in Georgia

The race for Georgia’s Electoral College votes is getting closer.

The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey in the state shows that John McCain’s lead over Barack Obama is down to five percentage points, 51% to 46%. In September, McCain led by 11. Earlier in October, that lead had slipped to nine points.

However, while Obama continues to gain ground, this is the fourth straight poll of Georgia voters to find McCain at the 50% level of support or above. In August, McCain led Obama 50% to 43%.

Sixty-eight percent (68%) of voters in the state expect McCain to win Georgia on Election Day.

Just 36% of Georgia voters agree with Obama’s quote that when you spread the wealth around, it’s good for everyone. Fifty percent (50%) disagree.

Nationally, Obama has been gaining ground steadily in the Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll ever since the Wall Street debacle began to dominate the news. The Democratic hopeful also has a solid lead in the Electoral College projections.

Fifty-seven percent (57%) of Georgia voters have a favorable opinion of McCain, including 37% with a Very Favorable opinion.

For Obama, 48% have a favorable view, including an amazing 42% with a Very Favorable opinion. The bad news for Obama is that 51% of Georgia voters still voice an unfavorable opinion about him. Only 42% say the same about McCain.

McCain is supported by 70% of white voters, Obama by 92% of African-American voters (see full demographic crosstabs).

George W. Bush carried Georgia by double digits in 2000 and 2004. Bill Clinton won the state in 1992 but lost it to Bob Dole in 1996.

Rasmussen Markets data gives McCain a % chance of winning Georgia’s 15 Electoral College votes this fall. At the time this poll was released, Georgia was rated as “Likely Republican” in the Rasmussen Reports Balance of Power Calculator. NOTE: Factors other than the latest Rasmussen Reports poll impact the Balance of Power ratings. The current status is indicated on the table in the upper right hand corner of this article.

Fifty percent (50%) of Georgia voters trust McCain more than Obama when it comes to economic issues. Forty-seven percent (47%) hold the opposite view. McCain has a 10-point advantage when the topic is national security.

Fifty-eight percent (58%) of Georgia voters are Very Confident their votes will be properly counted and that the right candidate will be awarded the victory. Another 32% are Somewhat Confident of that outcome.

Seventy-seven percent (77%) believe voters should be required to show photo identification before voting.

See survey questions and toplines. Crosstabs are available to Premium Members only.

Georgia
Likely Republican

Latest
RR Poll

RR Poll
Avg.

"538"
Avg.

RR
Mkts.

In
Trade

McCain (R)

52%

52%

51%

Obama (D)

47%

46%

44%

This telephone survey of 500 Likely Voters was conducted by Rasmussen Reports on October 22, 2008. The margin of sampling error for the survey is +/- 4.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence.

See Methodology.


Georgia Trends: McCain vs. Obama

Date

McCain

Obama

10/30/2008

52%

47%

10/22/2008

51%

46%

10/07/2008

54%

45%

09/16/2008

54%

43%

08/14/2008

50%

43%

07/17/2008

48%

39%

06/26/2008

53%

43%

06/04/2008

51%

41%

05/06/2008

53%

39%

03/20/2008

53%

40%


Favorable Ratings for Presidential Candidates in Georgia

 

McCain

Obama

Very Favorable

41%

42%

Somewhat Favorable

16%

8%

Somewhat Unfavorable

17%

10%

Very Unfavorable

26%

39%

Not Sure

0%

1%


Rasmussen Reports - Electoral College Balance of Power Summary

Republicans

160

Democrats

173

Toss-Ups & Leaners

205


About Rasmussen Reports

Rasmussen Reports is an electronic publishing firm specializing in the collection, publication, and distribution of public opinion polling information.

The Rasmussen Reports ElectionEdge™ Premium Service for Election 2008 offers the most comprehensive public opinion coverage ever provided for a Presidential election.

Scott Rasmussen, president of Rasmussen Reports, has been an independent pollster for more than a decade.