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Georgia: McCain Holds on to Strong Lead in Red State

John McCain has expanded his lead over Barack Obama in Georgia. The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of the state finds the Republican on top 54% to 43% (see crosstabs).

Last month, McCain held a seven-point lead in the Peach State. The race in Georgia has remained relatively steady since tracking began in March.

Libertarian candidate Bob Barr, who served in Congress as part of Georgia’s Congressional delegation, receives very little support from voters in the state.

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While McCain and Obama earn identical support from their own parties, McCain leads 59% to 31% among unaffiliated voters. McCain earns equal support from both men and women.

McCain is viewed favorably by 67% of Georgia voters, and unfavorably by 32%. Obama’s numbers are 50% favorable, 49% unfavorable.

George W. Bush won Georgia twice by double digits. Bill Clinton narrowly carried the state in 1992 but lost it to Bob Dole in 1996. Rasmussen Markets data shows that McCain is currently given a % chance of winning Georgia’s fifteen Electoral College votes this fall. At the time this poll was released, Georgia was rated as “Likely Republican” in the Rasmussen Reports Balance of Power Calculator. NOTE: Factors other than the latest Rasmussen Reports poll impact the Balance of Power ratings. The current status is indicated on the table in the upper right hand corner of this article.

As for the candidates’ running mates, Sarah Palin is viewed favorably by 62% and unfavorably by 37%. Joe Biden’s ratings are less flattering; 43% have a favorable view of the Senator, while 51% view him unfavorably.

While just 34% of voters say Biden was a good VP choice for Obama, 62% say Palin was a good choice for McCain. However, 50% of voters do not think Palin is ready to be president if the situation arises. Thirty-nine percent (39%) think the Alaskan Governor is ready to take over the White House. Voters are evenly divided on Biden--42% think Biden would be prepared for the presidency, 43% disagree.

Nationally, the race remains close in both the Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll and the Electoral College projections. Just 23% of voters say that this year’s campaign is more negative than most and all four candidates get relatively high marks for ethics.

Most voters in Georgia (70%) favor oil drilling off the coast of Georgia, while just 18% are opposed.

The survey also found that just 34% of voters believe former Georgia politician and President Jimmy Carter should have been given the chance to speak at the Democratic National Convention, while 38% disagree.

President George W. Bush earns good or excellent ratings from 37% of Georgia voters, while 46% say he is doing a poor job.

Rasmussen Reports has released polls on the presidential race this week for Colorado, Connecticut, Florida, New York, Ohio, Oregon, Pennsylvania, Rhode Island, Virginia, Wisconsin, Utah and Delaware.

Additional state poll results will be released at RasmussenReports.com each Monday at 6:00 p.m. Eastern and Tuesday-Friday at 5:00 p.m. Eastern.
The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll is released each morning at 9:30 a.m. Eastern. Other polling is released at 7:00 a.m., Noon, and 3:00 p.m. Eastern weekdays along with other updates as needed. Premium Members can review full demographic crosstabs for all state polls and get the first look at all Rasmussen Reports polling data. Learn More .

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See survey questions and toplines. Crosstabs available for Premium Members only.

Georgia
Likely Republican

Latest
RR Poll

RR Poll
Avg.

"538"
Avg.

RR
Mkts.

In
Trade

McCain (R)

52%

52%

51%

Obama (D)

47%

46%

44%

This telephone survey of 500 Likely Voters was conducted by Rasmussen Reports on August 14, 2008. The margin of sampling error for the survey is +/- 4.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence.

See Methodology.


Georgia Trends: McCain vs. Obama

Date

McCain

Obama

10/30/2008

52%

47%

10/22/2008

51%

46%

10/07/2008

54%

45%

09/16/2008

54%

43%

08/14/2008

50%

43%

07/17/2008

48%

39%

06/26/2008

53%

43%

06/04/2008

51%

41%

05/06/2008

53%

39%

03/20/2008

53%

40%


Favorable Ratings for Presidential Candidates in Georgia

 

McCain

Obama

Very Favorable

41%

42%

Somewhat Favorable

16%

8%

Somewhat Unfavorable

17%

10%

Very Unfavorable

26%

39%

Not Sure

0%

1%


Rasmussen Reports - Electoral College Balance of Power Summary

Republicans

160

Democrats

173

Toss-Ups & Leaners

205


About Rasmussen Reports

Rasmussen Reports is an electronic publishing firm specializing in the collection, publication, and distribution of public opinion polling information.

The Rasmussen Reports ElectionEdge™ Premium Service for Election 2008 offers the most comprehensive public opinion coverage ever provided for a Presidential election.

Scott Rasmussen, president of Rasmussen Reports, has been an independent pollster for more than a decade.