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Georgia: McCain 53% Obama 39%

John McCain continues to enjoy a solid lead over both potential Democratic opponents in Georgia.

The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey in the Peach State found McCain leading Barack Obama 53% to 39% and Hillary Clinton 48% to 37% ( see video).

For an Obama-McCain match-up, those numbers are virtually identical to last month’s results. Clinton is doing a bit better against McCain than she was a month ago.

Clinton and McCain essentially split the votes of women but the GOP candidate leads by twenty-seven points among men. When matched against Obama, leads by eight among women and by twenty-two points among men.

McCain is viewed favorably by 59% of Georgia voters, down from 64% in March. Obama’s favorable ratings are at 43% while Clinton’s are at 39%. Rating for both Democrats are down two points from a month ago.

Rasmussen Markets data shows that Republicans are currently given a % chance of winning Georgia’s fifteen Electoral College Votes this fall. George W. Bush won the state twice by double digits. Bill Clinton eked out a narrow Georgia victory in 1992 but lost the state to Bob Dole in 1996. At the time this poll was released, Georgia was rated as “Safely Republican” in the Rasmussen Reports Balance of Power Calculator.

The Senate race in Georgia also looks good from the GOP perspective.

Fifty-five percent (55%) of Georgia voters favor a federal gas tax holiday this summer while 34% are opposed. That’s a bit more support than the proposal gets nationally. Both nationally and in Georgia, support for suspending the gas tax is strongest among lower-income voters. Sixty-four percent (64%) of all Georgia voters correctly identify Obama as the candidate opposed to suspending the federal gas tax.

By a two-to-one margin, 56% to 29%, Georgia voters reject the notion that the federal government needs more revenue.

In fact, 64% are worried that the next President will raise taxes too much and harm the economy.

Only 30% worry that the next President will cut taxes so much that it will harm important government programs.

By a 64% to 13% margin, Georgia voters oppose a hike in the capital gains tax. Those figures are very close to the national average. Fifty-eight percent (58%) believe that hiking the capital gains tax will hurt the economy.

Sixty-one percent (61%) of Georgia’s Likely Voters own at least $5,000 worth of stocks, bonds, or mutual funds.

This survey was conducted in partnership with Fox Television Stations Inc.

See survey questions and toplines. Crosstabs available for Premium Members only.

Georgia
Likely Republican

Latest
RR Poll

RR Poll
Avg.

"538"
Avg.

RR
Mkts.

In
Trade

McCain (R)

52%

52%

51%

Obama (D)

47%

46%

44%

This telephone survey of 500 Likely Voters was conducted by Rasmussen Reports on May 6, 2008. The margin of sampling error for the survey is +/- 4 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence.

See Methodology.


Georgia Trends: McCain vs. Clinton

Date

McCain

Clinton

05/06/2008

48%

37%

03/20/2008

54%

34%

Georgia Trends: McCain vs. Obama

Date

McCain

Obama

10/30/2008

52%

47%

10/22/2008

51%

46%

10/07/2008

54%

45%

09/16/2008

54%

43%

08/14/2008

50%

43%

07/17/2008

48%

39%

06/26/2008

53%

43%

06/04/2008

51%

41%

05/06/2008

53%

39%

03/20/2008

53%

40%


Favorable Ratings for Presidential Candidates in Georgia

 

McCain

Obama

Very Favorable

41%

42%

Somewhat Favorable

16%

8%

Somewhat Unfavorable

17%

10%

Very Unfavorable

26%

39%

Not Sure

0%

1%


Rasmussen Reports - Electoral College Balance of Power Summary

Republicans

160

Democrats

173

Toss-Ups & Leaners

205


About Rasmussen Reports

Rasmussen Reports is an electronic publishing firm specializing in the collection, publication, and distribution of public opinion polling information.

The Rasmussen Reports ElectionEdge™ Premium Service for Election 2008 offers the most comprehensive public opinion coverage ever provided for a Presidential election.

Scott Rasmussen, president of Rasmussen Reports, has been an independent pollster for more than a decade.