If it's in the News, it's in our Polls. Public opinion polling since 2003.

 

McCain and Obama Are Tied in Florida

The Presidential race in Florida is now tied. The latest Fox News/Rasmussen Reports telephone survey in the Sunshine State finds John McCain and Barack Obama each earning support from 48% of voters (crosstabs available for Premium Members).

The race in Florida has been tight since July, with neither candidate holding more than a three percentage-point advantage in the last two polls. Prior to July, McCain enjoyed more solid leads over the Democrat.

The Republican nominee is viewed favorably by 61% of Floridian voters and unfavorably by 37%. Obama’s numbers are 55% favorable, 45% unfavorable. As for the Vice Presidential nominees, the ratings are similar. Sarah Palin is viewed favorably by 54% and unfavorably by 42%. Biden receives favorable ratings from 51% and unfavorable ratings from 43%.

Rasmussen Reports and Fox News Channel will jointly release a series battleground state polls every Monday night at 6:00 p.m. Eastern. See overview of all polling released this week.

Rasmussen Reports will release other state polling on the Presidential race weeknights at 5:00 p.m. Eastern. The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll, follows the race on a national basis and is updated every morning at 9:30 a.m. Eastern.

Florida has been carried by the Republican presidential candidates in eight out of the last 10 elections, most notably in 2000 when it took a month to determine that George W. Bush was the winner. In 2004, Bush easily defeated Democrat John W. Kerry 52% to 47% in the Sunshine State. The closeness of the 2000 race, however, has given Florida the reputation of being a so-called swing state.

(Want a free daily e-mail update on our latest results? Sign up now. If it's in the news, it's in our polls. Get our daily update and we’ll let you know what voters really think.)

Obama has a solid 54% to 37% advantage among voters not affiliated with either major political party. He also leads 50% to 46% among women in Florida. McCain has the same advantage among men, 50% to 46%. While McCain leads 56% to 39% among white voters in Florida, Obama leads 63% to 32% among Hispanic voters.

The Democrat leads 58% to 42% among voters under the age of 40, while McCain leads 53% to 41% among voters between 40 and 64 years of age. Among senior citizens in Florida, McCain leads 48% to 43%.

The plurality of voters in Florida (43%) are not at all comfortable with the idea of Obama being president. However, a third (33%) say they feel extremely comfortable. Just 30% of voters in Florida say they would not at all be comfortable with McCain as president. While 78% of Republicans say they would not be at all comfortable with Obama as president, 53% of Democrats say the same about McCain.

If voters were faced with the toughest decisions of their lives, 51% say they would rather ask McCain for advice, while 42% would choose Obama.

Rasmussen Markets data currently gives McCain a % chance of winning Florida’s 27 Electoral College votes in November. At the time this poll was released, Florida was rated as “Leans Republican” in the Rasmussen Reports Balance of Power Calculator. NOTE: Factors other than the latest Rasmussen Reports poll impact the Balance of Power ratings. The current status is indicated on the table in the upper righthand corner of this article.

President George W. Bush earns good or excellent ratings from 35% of Florida voters, while 49% say the president is doing a poor job.

Governor Charlie Crist earns good or excellent ratings from 57% of voters, up from 50% last month. Just 12% think the governor is doing a poor job.

See survey questions and toplines. Crosstabs available for Premium Members only.

Florida

Latest RR Poll

RR Poll Avg.

McCain (R)

50%

49%

Obama (D)

49%

49%

This telephone survey of 500 Likely Voters was conducted by Rasmussen Reports September 7, 2008. The margin of sampling error for the survey is +/- 4.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence.

See Methodology.


Florida Trends: McCain vs. Obama

Date

McCain

Obama

11/02/2008

50%

49%

10/26/2008

47%

51%

10/19/2008

49%

48%

10/12/2008

46%

51%

10/08/2008

47%

50%

10/05/2008

45%

52%

09/28/2008

47%

47%

09/24/2008

48%

47%

09/21/2008

51%

46%

09/14/2008

49%

44%

09/07/2008

48%

48%

08/18/2008

46%

43%

07/22/2008

45%

46%

06/26/2008

48%

41%

06/18/2008

47%

39%

05/19/2008

50%

40%

04/10/2008

53%

38%

03/12/2008

47%

43%

02/16/2008

53%

37%


Favorable Ratings for Presidential Candidates in Florida

 

McCain

Obama

Very Favorable

38%

43%

Somewhat Favorable

22%

9%

Somewhat Unfavorable

19%

12%

Very Unfavorable

20%

36%

Not Sure

1%

1%


Rasmussen Reports - Electoral College Balance of Power Summary

Republicans

160

Democrats

173

Toss-Ups & Leaners

205


About Rasmussen Reports

Rasmussen Reports is an electronic publishing firm specializing in the collection, publication, and distribution of public opinion polling information.

The Rasmussen Reports ElectionEdge™ Premium Service for Election 2008 offers the most comprehensive public opinion coverage ever provided for a Presidential election.

Scott Rasmussen, president of Rasmussen Reports, has been an independent pollster for more than a decade.