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Obama Pulls to a Six-Point Lead in Colorado

Barack Obama is pulling away from John McCain in Colorado, according to the latest Fox News/Rasmussen Reports telephone survey in the state.

Obama leads McCain by six points, 51% to 45%. A week ago, Obama had a one-point lead, and a week before that McCain was up by two.

Eighty-two percent (82%) of Colorado voters are now certain who they will vote for, up four points from a week ago. Eighteen percent (18%) say they may still change their minds, including one-third of unaffiliated voters in the state.

For Obama the findings are good news since moving Colorado to the Democratic column is considered critical to his winning the White House. A classic swing state, Colorado went for George W. Bush in 2000 and 2004 and GOP nominee Bob Dole in 1996 after supporting Democrat Bill Clinton four years earlier.

Nationally, Obama has opened a steady lead over McCain in the Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll and Electoral College projections. Colorado is one of several battleground states where Obama has gained ground in this week’s round of Fox News/Rasmussen Reports surveys.

In Colorado, McCain has a five-point lead among men but trails Obama by 15 points among women voters.

Obama leads by 14 points among unaffiliated voters.

McCain is viewed favorably by 53% and unfavorably by 46%. Obama has 55% favorables and 43% unfavorables.

Rasmussen Markets data gives Obama a % chance of winning Colorado’s nine Electoral College votes next month. At the time this poll was released, Colorado shifted from “Toss-Up” to “Leans Democrat” in the Rasmussen Reports Balance of Power Calculator. NOTE: Factors other than the latest Rasmussen Reports poll impact the Balance of Power ratings. The current status is indicated on the table in the upper right corner of this article.

While voters are evenly divided on which candidate they trust more overall, Obama has the edge 49% to 44% in voter trust on the economy and jobs. A plurality of Colorado voters (44%) say the economy is the most important issue in the election.

Twenty-one percent (21%) say national security is the most important issue, and voters trust McCain more, 50% to 44%, in this area.

Faced with the toughest decision of their lives, 47% say they would ask McCain for advice, but 44% would ask Obama.

Forty-seven percent (47%) say they would be extremely or very comfortable with Obama in the White House, while 40% say the same of McCain. Forty-eight percent (48%) feel that way about Obama’s running mate, Joseph Biden, as vice president versus 38% for GOP vice presidential nominee Sarah Palin.

New polling was released Monday night with statewide results from Colorado, Florida, Missouri, Ohio, and Virginia. See an overview of all five state polls and the latest Electoral College projections. A total of 270 Electoral Votes are needed to win the White House (see 50-State Summary).

Recent statewide Presidential polls have been released for Arizona, California, Colorado, Florida, Hawaii, Kentucky, Kansas, Maine, Maryland, Michigan, Minnesota, Mississippi, Montana, Nebraska, Nevada, New Hampshire, New Mexico, North Carolina, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Tennessee, Texas, Virginia and Washington. Demographic crosstabs for all state polling are available for Premium Members. Learn More.

See results from recent polling on Senate races.

Just 29% of Colorado voters give President Bush good or excellent marks for job performance, while 52% say he’s doing a poor job.

Governor Bill Ritter, a Democrat, is rated good or excellent for his job performance by 43% of state voters, but 25% say his performance is poor.

See survey questions and toplines. Crosstabs are available for Premium Members only.

Colorado
Leans Democratic

Latest
RR Poll

RR Poll
Avg.

"538"
Avg.

RR
Mkts.

In
Trade

McCain (R)

47%

46%

44%

Obama (D)

51%

51%

50%

This telephone survey of 1,000 Likely Voters was conducted by Rasmussen Reports October 5, 2008. The margin of sampling error for the survey is +/- 3 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence.

See Methodology.


Colorado Trends: McCain vs. Obama

Date

McCain

Obama

11/02/2008

47%

51%

10/26/2008

46%

50%

10/19/2008

46%

51%

10/16/2008

45%

52%

10/05/2008

45%

51%

09/28/2008

48%

49%

09/23/2008

47%

50%

09/14/2008

48%

46%

09/07/2008

46%

49%

08/13/2008

47%

45%

07/21/2008

42%

49%

06/17/2008

41%

43%

05/19/2008

42%

48%

04/16/2008

43%

46%

03/17/2008

46%

46%

02/11/2008

39%

46%


Favorable Ratings for Presidential Candidates in Colorado

 

McCain

Obama

Very Favorable

36%

43%

Somewhat Favorable

21%

11%

Somewhat Unfavorable

20%

10%

Very Unfavorable

21%

35%

Not Sure

1%

1%


Rasmussen Reports - Electoral College Balance of Power Summary

Republicans

160

Democrats

173

Toss-Ups & Leaners

205


About Rasmussen Reports

Rasmussen Reports is an electronic publishing firm specializing in the collection, publication, and distribution of public opinion polling information.

The Rasmussen Reports ElectionEdge™ Premium Service for Election 2008 offers the most comprehensive public opinion coverage ever provided for a Presidential election.

Scott Rasmussen, president of Rasmussen Reports, has been an independent pollster for more than a decade.