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Obama 52%, McCain 45% in Colorado

Barack Obama has inched further ahead of John McCain in the battleground state of Colorado where he now leads 52% to 45%, according to a new Rasmussen Reports telephone survey.

Last week Obama led McCain by six points, 51% to 45%. One month earlier, McCain was ahead by two.

Obama is supported by 93% of the state’s Democrats and 10% of Republicans. Eighty-nine percent (89%) of GOP voters and six percent (6%) of Democrats support McCain. Obama leads among unaffiliated voters by 17 points.

McCain has lost ground among men voters, who now support Obama 49% to 47%. The Democrat leads among women by 11 points.

Colorado was carried by the Republican candidates in the last three presidential elections.

(Want a free daily e-mail update ? If it's in the news, it's in our polls).

Nationally, Obama has opened a steady lead over McCain in the Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll and Electoral College projections. He now has the edge in every single state won by John Kerry four years ago. Of the states won by Bush in 2004, McCain is trailing in four, and five others are considered toss-ups.

Fifty-one percent (51%) of Colorado voters have a favorable opinion of McCain, but 48% regard him unfavorably. Obama is viewed favorably by 57% and unfavorably by 43%.

While a plurality (46%) say the tone of Obama’s campaign has been generally positive, 54% believe the tone of McCain’s campaign has been generally negative.

New polling on the presidential race was released this week from the closely-contested states of Virginia, North Carolina, Florida and Missouri. See an overview of the state polls and the latest Electoral College projections. A total of 270 Electoral Votes are needed to win the White House (see 50-State Summary).

Recent statewide presidential polls also have been released for Arizona, California, Colorado, Delaware, Florida, Hawaii, Illinois, Kentucky, Kansas, Maine, Maryland, Massachusetts, Michigan, Minnesota, Mississippi, Missouri, Montana, Nebraska, Nevada, New Hampshire, New Mexico , North Carolina, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Tennessee, Texas, Virginia and Washington. Demographic crosstabs for all state polling are available for Premium Members. Learn More .

Democrat Mark Udall now has a seven-point lead over Republican Bob Schaffer in the race for the seat of Colorado’s retiring GOP Senator Wayne Allard.

Nearly half (48%) of Colorado voters say the economy is the number one issue in the presidential campaign, while 19% say national security is most important.

While 51% disagree with the recently approved $700 billion economic bailout plan approved by Congress, 41% say it will help the economy. Twenty-two percent (22%) say it will hurt the economy, and 20% say it will have no impact.

Fifty percent (50%) believe lower taxes are better than higher taxes to spur economic growth, but nearly the identical number (49%) say Obama’s plan to raise taxes on those earning more than $250,000 a year will be good for the economy. Thirty-eight percent (38%) say raising taxes on high-income people will be bad for the economy, while nine percent (9%) say it will have no impact.

However, 55% think raising the capital gains tax will be bad for the economy, compared to just 21% who say it’s a good move and 14% who say it will have no impact.

Fifty-five percent (55%) also oppose Proposition 48, a pro-life amendment that would define any fertilized egg as a person under the state constitution. Thirty-five percent (35%) support it.

Forty-four percent (44%) say life begins at conception, while 21% say it begins at birth. Thirty-one percent (31%) say it’s somewhere in between.

Twenty-nine percent (29%) say President Bush is doing a good or excellent job, while 52% rate his job performance as poor.

State polling data has been released this week from Connecticut, Delaware, Florida, Illinois, Kansas, Massachusetts, Missouri, New Mexico, New York, North Carolina, Ohio and Virginia.

See survey questions and toplines. Crosstabs are available for Premium Members only.

Colorado
Leans Democratic

Latest
RR Poll

RR Poll
Avg.

"538"
Avg.

RR
Mkts.

In
Trade

McCain (R)

47%

46%

44%

Obama (D)

51%

51%

50%

This telephone survey of 700 Likely Voters was conducted by Rasmussen Reports October 16, 2008. The margin of sampling error for the survey is +/- 4 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence.

See Methodology.


Colorado Trends: McCain vs. Obama

Date

McCain

Obama

11/02/2008

47%

51%

10/26/2008

46%

50%

10/19/2008

46%

51%

10/16/2008

45%

52%

10/05/2008

45%

51%

09/28/2008

48%

49%

09/23/2008

47%

50%

09/14/2008

48%

46%

09/07/2008

46%

49%

08/13/2008

47%

45%

07/21/2008

42%

49%

06/17/2008

41%

43%

05/19/2008

42%

48%

04/16/2008

43%

46%

03/17/2008

46%

46%

02/11/2008

39%

46%


Favorable Ratings for Presidential Candidates in Colorado

 

McCain

Obama

Very Favorable

36%

43%

Somewhat Favorable

21%

11%

Somewhat Unfavorable

20%

10%

Very Unfavorable

21%

35%

Not Sure

1%

1%


Rasmussen Reports - Electoral College Balance of Power Summary

Republicans

160

Democrats

173

Toss-Ups & Leaners

205


About Rasmussen Reports

Rasmussen Reports is an electronic publishing firm specializing in the collection, publication, and distribution of public opinion polling information.

The Rasmussen Reports ElectionEdge™ Premium Service for Election 2008 offers the most comprehensive public opinion coverage ever provided for a Presidential election.

Scott Rasmussen, president of Rasmussen Reports, has been an independent pollster for more than a decade.