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Missouri Governor: Democrat Nixon Leads by 15

No surprises in the latest polling on the Missouri governor’s race. A new Rasmussen Reports telephone survey finds Attorney General Jay Nixon leading Congressman Kenny Hulshof by 15 percentage points 54% to 39%.

This result is little changed from a month ago and is the seventh consecutive monthly poll to show Nixon with a double digit lead.

Nixon is supported by 92% of Democrats and has a 17-point lead among the state’s unaffiliated voters. Eighty-one percent (81%) of Republicans say they will vote for Hulshof.

The Democratic attorney general leads by 23 percentage points among women and six points among men (see crosstabs).

Hulshof won the right to face Nixon after narrowly defeating State Treasurer Sarah Steelman in an August 5 primary.

Nixon is viewed favorably by 66% of Missouri voters, up five points over the past month and up nine points from two months ago.

Hulshof is now viewed favorably by 49%, a decline of six points over the past month. Still, he’s gained seven points since capturing his party’s nomination.

Voter approval of Republican Gov. Matt Blunt, who in a surprise announcement in January chose not to seek re-election, inched up a few points this month--37% rate his job performance good or excellent while 29% say he is doing a poor job.

Missouri’s presidential race finds John McCain leading Barack Obama by five.

Rasmussen Reports has released polls on the presidential race this week for Washington, Alaska, Michigan, Montana, Colorado, Florida, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Virginia, Idaho, New Mexico and North Dakota. Additional state poll results will be released at RasmussenReports.com each Monday at 6:00 p.m. Eastern and Tuesday-Friday at 5:00 p.m. Eastern.

The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll is released each morning at 9:30 a.m. Eastern. Other polling is released at 7:00 a.m., Noon, and 3:00 p.m. Eastern weekdays along with other updates as needed.

This survey was conducted in partnership with Fox Television Stations Inc.

See survey questions and toplines. Crosstabs are available for Premium Members only.

This telephone survey of 700 Likely Voters was conducted by Rasmussen Reports September 11, 2008. The margin of sampling error for the survey is +/- 4.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence.


Missouri Trends: Hulshof (R) vs. Nixon (D)

Date

Hulshof

Nixon

10/14/2008

38%

57%

39%

54%

39%

51%

38%

49%

34%

54%

35%

51%

37%

48%

30%

48%


Favorable Ratings for Gubernatorial Candidates in Missouri

 

Nixon

Hulshof

Very Favorable

25%

18%

Somewhat Favorable

37%

28%

Somewhat Unfavorable

15%

26%

Very Unfavorable

17%

21%

Not Sure

5%

8%


Rasmussen Reports is an electronic publishing firm specializing in the collection, publication, and distribution of public opinion polling information.

The Rasmussen Reports ElectionEdge™ Premium Service for Election 2008 offers the most comprehensive public opinion coverage ever provided for a Presidential election.

Scott Rasmussen, president of Rasmussen Reports, has been an independent pollster for more than a decade.