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Romney Leads in New Hampshire
Wednesday, August 15, 2007
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Former Massachusetts Governor Mitt Romney continues to lead all Republicans in polling for the New Hampshire Presidential Primary. The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey finds Romney on top with 32% of the vote followed by former New York City Mayor Rudy Giuliani at 20%. Arizona Senator John McCain and former Tennessee Senator Fred Thompson each earn support from 11% in the poll. The New Hampshire Primary survey was completed before Romney’s victory in the Iowa straw poll last weekend. Nearly half of all Likely Voters nationwide know that Romney won that straw poll and the momentum has helped him gain ground nationally in the Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll. Looking to the general election competition for New Hampshire’s four Electoral College votes, new survey data shows Democratic frontrunner Hillary Clinton with a modest edge over both Romney and Giuliani. Clinton is the default candidate among Democrats nationally and holds a solid lead in New Hampshire’s Democratic Primary. Three percent (3%) of New Hampshire’s Likely Republican Primary Voters say they will vote for Mike Huckabee. Four other candidates split 6% and 17% are undecided. Giuliani is viewed favorably by 80% of Likely Republican Primary Voters in New Hampshire. Romney earns favorable reviews from 75% (much stronger than his numbers nationally) while Thompson is viewed favorably by 62%. McCain, who won the New Hampshire Primary in Election 2000, is viewed favorably by just 53% of Likely Republican Primary Voters. However, he is also viewed unfavorably by 43%. None of the other leading candidates is viewed unfavorably by even half that number. Romney has a solid lead among Republicans likely to vote in the Primary, but is essentially even with Giuliani among independents. At this point in time, most of New Hampshire’s independent Primary voters are planning to take part in the Democratic Primary. Independents looking to vote in the Democratic Primary are more supportive of Barack Obama rather than Clinton. If the Democratic Primary is ultimately seen as noncompetitive, a larger number of Independents are likely to vote in the GOP Primary. That would probably benefit Giuliani. On the other hand, if the GOP race is seen as locked up, an even larger share of independents might participate in the Democratic Primary to the benefit of Obama. Crosstabs are available for Premium Members only. Rasmussen Reports is an electronic publishing firm specializing in the collection, publication, and distribution of public opinion polling information. The Rasmussen Reports ElectionEdge™ Premium Service for Election 2008 offers the most comprehensive public opinion coverage ever provided for a Presidential election. Scott Rasmussen, president of Rasmussen Reports, has been an independent pollster for more than a decade. TOP STORIESElectoral College: Democrats 210 Republicans 165 Leaners 125 Toss-Up 38 News You Watch Says a Lot About How You’ll Vote 81% Say Finding New Energy Sources is Urgent National Need Voters’ Trust for McCain on Key Issues Growing Most Democrats Give Hillary Good Marks So Far, but Only 43% Want Her to Be Obama’s Running Mate Bush Job Approval: One Point Above All-Time Low Only 22% Say McCain Ad Racist, But Over Half (53%) See Obama Dollar-bill Comment That Way Number of Democrats in US Declines in July Fans Predict a Showdown Between Angels and Cubs in 2008 World Series Advertisement
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