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Toplines - Pennsylvania Democratic Primary - April 20, 2008

Pennsylvania Primary

Survey of 722 Democratic Primary Voters

April 20, 2008

1* How do you rate the way that George W. Bush is performing his role as President? Excellent, good, fair, or poor?

2% Excellent

4% Good

10% Fair

83% Poor

1% Not sure

2* How do you rate the way that Ed Rendell is performing his role as Governor? Excellent, good, fair, or poor?

22% Excellent

34% Good

32% Fair

11% Poor

1% Not sure

3* Democratic Primary

Clinton

49%

Obama

44%

Not sure

7%

4* Favorables

Clinton

Obama

Very Favorable

42%

41%

Somewhat Favorable

29%

28%

Somewhat Unfavorable

15%

17%

Very Unfavorable

13%

13%

Not sure

1%

1%

5* Suppose that Hillary Clinton wins the Democratic Presidential Nomination. In the general election campaign against John McCain, how likely are you to vote for Hillary Clinton?

71% Very likely

9% Somewhat likely

5% Not very likely

11% Not at all likely

3% Not sure

6* Suppose that Barack Obama wins the Democratic Presidential Nomination. In the general election campaign against John McCain, how likely are you to vote for Barack Obama?

64% Very likely

12% Somewhat likely

9% Not very likely

13% Not at all likely

2% Not sure

7. When thinking about how you will vote in the Pennsylvania Presidential primary, which of the following issues is most important—the economy, the War in Iraq, immigration, national security, health care, Social Security, or government ethics and corruption?

51% Economy

23% War in Iraq

2% Immigration

2% National security

7% Health care

3% Social Security

8% Government ethics and corruption

2% Some other issue

2% Not sure

8* How closely did you follow news stories about the debate between Hillary Clinton and Barack Obama?

52% Very closely
32% Somewhat closely
12% Not very closely
3% Not at all
0% Not sure

9* Did anything you heard or saw about the debate cause you to change your mind and vote for a different candidate?

11% Yes
82% No
7% Not sure

10* If Barack Obama is nominated by the Democrats how likely is it that he will be elected President?

46% Very likely

29% Somewhat likely

12% Not very likely

8% Not at all likely

4% Not sure

11* If Hillary Clinton is nominated by the Democrats how likely is it that he will be elected President?

50% Very likely

30% Somewhat likely

11% Not very likely

6% Not at all likely

3% Not sure

12* Okay….if Barack Obama is nominated by the Democrats how likely is it that John McCain will be elected President?

19% Very likely

23% Somewhat likely

38% Not very likely

17% Not at all likely

4% Not sure

13* if Hillary Clinton is nominated by the Democrats how likely is it that John McCain will be elected President?

13% Very likely

25% Somewhat likely

38% Not very likely

19% Not at all likely

4% Not sure

14* Superdelegates are party leaders and Members of Congress who vote at the Democratic Convention but not selected by primaries and caucuses. Ultimately, since neither Obama nor Clinton will have a majority of pledged delegates, the Superdelegates will select the Party’s Presidential nominee. Is it a good idea for the Democrats to have Superdelegates?

18% Yes
57% No
25% Not sure

15* Suppose that Barack Obama wins the most pledged delegates, the most states, and the popular vote over Hillary Clinton. But, then something happens to convince Superdelegates that Hillary Clinton would have a better chance of beating John McCain. In that case, should the Superdelegates honor the results of the primaries and select Obama or should they vote for Clinton as the party’s best chance to beat John McCain.

54% Honor the results of the primaries

37% Vote for Clinton

10% Not sure

16* In political terms is Barack Obama conservative, moderate or liberal?

7% Conservative
44% Moderate
37% Liberal
12% Not sure

17* In political terms is Hillary Clinton conservative, moderate or liberal?

11% Conservative
51% Moderate
29% Liberal
9% Not sure

18* Generally speaking, how would you rate the U.S. economy these days? Excellent, good, fair, or poor?

0% Excellent
4% Good
23% Fair
71% Poor
1% Not sure

19
* How would you rate your own personal finances these days?

5% Excellent
26% Good
44% Fair
22% Poor
2% Not sure

NOTE: Margin of Sampling Error, +/- 4 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence