Pennsylvania Primary

Survey of 730 Democratic Primary Voters

April 17, 2008

1* How do you rate the way that George W. Bush is performing his role as President? Excellent, good, fair, or poor?

4% Excellent

4% Good

11% Fair

80% Poor

0% Not sure

2* How do you rate the way that Ed Rendell is performing his role as Governor? Excellent, good, fair, or poor?

21% Excellent

38% Good

28% Fair

12% Poor

1% Not sure

3* Democratic Primary

Clinton	47%
Obama	44%
Not sure	9%

4* Favorables

	Clinton	Obama
Very Favorable	40%	39%
Somewhat Favorable	30%	32%
Somewhat Unfavorable	17%	15%
Very Unfavorable	12%	13%
Not sure	1%	1%

5* Suppose that Hillary Clinton wins the Democratic Presidential Nomination. In the general election campaign against John McCain, how likely are you to vote for Hillary Clinton?

69% Very likely

10% Somewhat likely

9% Not very likely

9% Not at all likely

3% Not sure

6* Suppose that Barack Obama wins the Democratic Presidential Nomination. In the general election campaign against John McCain, how likely are you to vote for Barack Obama?

64% Very likely

9% Somewhat likely

8% Not very likely

15% Not at all likely

3% Not sure

7. When thinking about how you will vote in the Pennsylvania Presidential primary, which of the following issues is most important—the economy, the War in Iraq, immigration, national security, health care, Social Security, or government ethics and corruption?

51% Economy

21% War in Iraq

3% Immigration

3% National security

10% Health care

3% Social Security

5% Government ethics and corruption

2% Some other issue

2% Not sure

8* How closely did you follow news stories about the debate between Hillary Clinton and Barack Obama?

48% Very closely
35% Somewhat closely
13% Not very closely
3% Not at all
0% Not sure

9* Did anything you heard or saw about the debate cause you to change your mind and vote for a different candidate?

12% Yes
85% No
3% Not sure

10* If Barack Obama is nominated by the Democrats how likely is it that he will be elected President?

49% Very likely

27% Somewhat likely

15% Not very likely

7% Not at all likely

2% Not sure

11* If Hillary Clinton is nominated by the Democrats how likely is it that he will be elected President?

50% Very likely

29% Somewhat likely

15% Not very likely

5% Not at all likely

2% Not sure

12* Okay….if Barack Obama is nominated by the Democrats how likely is it that John McCain will be elected President?

21% Very likely

21% Somewhat likely

39% Not very likely

16% Not at all likely

3% Not sure

13* if Hillary Clinton is nominated by the Democrats how likely is it that John McCain will be elected President?

13% Very likely

30% Somewhat likely

37% Not very likely

17% Not at all likely

4% Not sure

14* Superdelegates are party leaders and Members of Congress who vote at the Democratic Convention but not selected by primaries and caucuses. Ultimately, since neither Obama nor Clinton will have a majority of pledged delegates, the Superdelegates will select the Party’s Presidential nominee. Is it a good idea for the Democrats to have Superdelegates?

21% Yes
57% No
22% Not sure

15* Suppose that Barack Obama wins the most pledged delegates, the most states, and the popular vote over Hillary Clinton. But, then something happens to convince Superdelegates that Hillary Clinton would have a better chance of beating John McCain. In that case, should the Superdelegates honor the results of the primaries and select Obama or should they vote for Clinton as the party’s best chance to beat John McCain.

57% Honor the results of the primaries

33% Vote for Clinton

9% Not sure

16* In political terms is Barack Obama conservative, moderate or liberal?

7% Conservative
48% Moderate
33% Liberal
12% Not sure

17* In political terms is Hillary Clinton conservative, moderate or liberal?

15% Conservative
49% Moderate
29% Liberal
7% Not sure

18* Generally speaking, how would you rate the U.S. economy these days? Excellent, good, fair, or poor?

1% Excellent
3% Good
26% Fair
69% Poor
1% Not sure

19* How would you rate your own personal finances these days?

4% Excellent
28% Good
45% Fair
22% Poor
2% Not sure

NOTE: Margin of Sampling Error, +/- 4 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence