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Toplines - California Presidential Election - April 16, 2008
California General Election Survey of 500 Likely Voters April 16, 2008 1* How do you rate the way that
George W. Bush is performing his role as President? Excellent, good, fair, or
poor? 10% Excellent 17% Good 19% Fair 54% Poor 0% Not sure 2* How
do you rate the way that Arnold Schwarzenegger is performing his role as Governor? Excellent, good, fair, or
poor? 7% Excellent 25% Good 32% Fair 34% Poor 1% Not sure 3* 2008 Presidential General Election Match-Ups
4* Favorable Ratings
5* When
thinking about how you will vote in the presidential election, which of the
following issues is most important—the economy, the War in Iraq, immigration,
national security, health care, Social Security, or government ethics and
corruption? 39% Economy 21% War in 11% Immigration 10% National security 5% Health care 2% Social Security 6% Government
ethics and corruption 2% Some other issue 3% Not sure 6* In terms
of how you will vote in the next Presidential election how important is the
issue of abortion? 29% Very important 25% Somewhat
important 28% Not very important 16% Not at all important
3% Not sure 7* Okay….
In terms of how you will vote in the next Presidential election how important
is the issue of immigration? 49% Very important 28% Somewhat
important 15% Not very important
6% Not at all important
1% Not sure 8* Generally speaking, on the issue of abortion, do you consider
yourself pro-choice or pro-life? 59% Pro-choice 10% Not sure 9* Okay… is
John McCain pro-choice or pro-life? 13% Pro-choice 40% Not sure 10* Fine….Is Barack
Obama pro-choice or pro-life? 61% Pro-choice 33% Not sure 11* Next,
do you favor or oppose granting drivers licenses for illegal immigrants? 24% Favor 12* Okay…
does John McCain favor granting drivers licenses to illegal immigrants? 13% Yes 35% No 13* Okay…
does Barack Obama favor granting drivers licenses to illegal immigrants? 30% Yes 14% No 14* John
McCain is pro-life on abortion and Barack Obama is pro-choice… knowing this,
are you more likely to vote for John McCain, more likely to vote for Barack
Obama, or does it have no impact on your vote? 26% More
likely to vote for McCain 37% More
likely to vote for Obama 35% No impact
1% Not sure 15* Barack
Obama favors drivers licenses for illegal immigrants and John McCain opposes
drivers licenses for illegal immigrants… knowing this, are you more likely to vote
for John McCain, more likely to vote for Barack Obama, or does it have no
impact on your vote? 40% More
likely to vote for McCain 25% More
likely to vote for Obama 31% No impact
3% Not sure 16* If the
Presidential election were held today, would you vote for Republican John
McCain or Democrat Barack Obama? 44%
McCain 49% Obama 6% Some other
candidate 2% Not sure NOTE: Margin of Sampling Error, +/- 4.5
percentage points with a 95% level of confidence |