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Toplines - California Presidential Election - April 16, 2008

California General Election

Survey of 500 Likely Voters

April 16, 2008

1* How do you rate the way that George W. Bush is performing his role as President? Excellent, good, fair, or poor?

10% Excellent

17% Good

19% Fair

54% Poor

0% Not sure

2* How do you rate the way that Arnold Schwarzenegger is performing his role as Governor? Excellent, good, fair, or poor?

7% Excellent

25% Good

32% Fair

34% Poor

1% Not sure

3* 2008 Presidential General Election Match-Ups

McCain

42%

McCain

43%

Clinton

47%

Obama

50%

Other

6%

Other

4%

Not sure

5%

Not sure

3%

4* Favorable Ratings

Clinton

Obama

McCain

Very Favorable

23%

32%

12%

Somewhat Favorable

25%

26%

35%

Somewhat Unfavorable

23%

17%

28%

Very Unfavorable

28%

23%

20%

Not sure

1%

3%

4%

5* When thinking about how you will vote in the presidential election, which of the following issues is most important—the economy, the War in Iraq, immigration, national security, health care, Social Security, or government ethics and corruption?

39% Economy

21% War in Iraq

11% Immigration

10% National security

5% Health care

2% Social Security

6% Government ethics and corruption

2% Some other issue

3% Not sure

6* In terms of how you will vote in the next Presidential election how important is the issue of abortion?

29% Very important

25% Somewhat important

28% Not very important

16% Not at all important

3% Not sure

7* Okay…. In terms of how you will vote in the next Presidential election how important is the issue of immigration?

49% Very important

28% Somewhat important

15% Not very important

6% Not at all important

1% Not sure

8* Generally speaking, on the issue of abortion, do you consider yourself pro-choice or pro-life?

59% Pro-choice
31% Pro-life

10% Not sure

9* Okay… is John McCain pro-choice or pro-life?

13% Pro-choice
47% Pro-life

40% Not sure

10* Fine….Is Barack Obama pro-choice or pro-life?

61% Pro-choice
7% Pro-life

33% Not sure

11* Next, do you favor or oppose granting drivers licenses for illegal immigrants?

24% Favor
61% Oppose
15% Not sure

12* Okay… does John McCain favor granting drivers licenses to illegal immigrants?

13% Yes

35% No
52% Not sure

13* Okay… does Barack Obama favor granting drivers licenses to illegal immigrants?

30% Yes

14% No
56% Not sure

14* John McCain is pro-life on abortion and Barack Obama is pro-choice… knowing this, are you more likely to vote for John McCain, more likely to vote for Barack Obama, or does it have no impact on your vote?

26% More likely to vote for McCain

37% More likely to vote for Obama

35% No impact

1% Not sure

15* Barack Obama favors drivers licenses for illegal immigrants and John McCain opposes drivers licenses for illegal immigrants… knowing this, are you more likely to vote for John McCain, more likely to vote for Barack Obama, or does it have no impact on your vote?

40% More likely to vote for McCain

25% More likely to vote for Obama

31% No impact

3% Not sure

16* If the Presidential election were held today, would you vote for Republican John McCain or Democrat Barack Obama?

44% McCain

49% Obama

6% Some other candidate

2% Not sure

NOTE: Margin of Sampling Error, +/- 4.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence