The Democratic Presidential Primary in Wisconsin may be the most competitive contest between Senators Barack Obama and Hillary Clinton since Super Tuesday.

The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey shows Obama with a narrow four-point advantage over Clinton, 47% to 43%. Nearly one-fourth of the voters say there’s a good chance they might change their mind. Five percent (5%) of those who currently support Obama and Clinton say there’s a good chance they could change their mind before voting.

Clinton leads by ten points among women but trails by twenty-three points among men. Clinton leads among voters over 65 while Obama has the edge among younger voters.

A strong showing by Clinton would be a welcome dose of good news for her campaign. She now trails Obama nationally in the Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll and Rasmussen Markets data suggests that Obama is now favored to win the nomination. Recent state polls in Colorado and New Hampshire show that Obama performs better in general election match-ups against McCain. However, a recent Rasmussen Reports analysis suggests there is more to the question of which Democrat might fare better against McCain in the general election.

In Wisconsin, 39% of Likely Democratic Primary Voters name the economy as the top voting issue. Twenty-six percent (26%) see the War in Iraq as the highest priority. Obama has a huge lead (61% to 33%) among those who see Iraq as the top issue. Clinton has a narrow edge among other voters.

Obama is viewed favorably by 80% of Likely Democratic Voters in Wisconsin, Clinton by 79%.

Clinton earns her favorable reviews from 84% of women and 71% of men. There is no significant gender gap on Obama’s favorable ratings.

Rasmussen Markets data now shows Obama with a % chance to win the Democratic nomination. Expectations for a Clinton victory are at %. Numbers in this paragraph are from a prediction market, not a poll. Using a trading format where traders "buy and sell" candidates, issues, and news features, the Rasmussen Markets harness competitive passions to provide a reliable leading indicator of upcoming events. We invite you to participate in the Rasmussen Markets. It costs nothing to join and add your voice to the collective wisdom of the market.

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