The Republican Presidential Primary in Tennessee is very competitive. A Rasmussen Reports telephone survey found John McCain narrowly on top with 32% support followed closely by Mitt Romney at 29% and Mike Huckabee at 23%. Ron Paul attracts 8% of the vote while 5% still plan to vote for some other candidate.

The situation remains very fluid as 10-15% of each major candidate’s supporters say there’s a good chance they could change their mind before voting. Just 63% of all voters are “certain” they will stick with their current candidate. The survey was conducted Wednesday night, six days before Election Day.

At one point not too long ago, the Tennessee Primary was expected to give a big victory to favorite son candidate Fred Thompson. However, Thompson dropped out of the race following a disappointing performance in the early state primaries.

Romney edges McCain by a 32% to 29% margin among conservative voters. McCain earns 38% of the moderate vote while Huckabee gets 22% and Romney 17%.

As in many other states, McCain leads among voters who name the economy or the War in Iraq as the top voting issue. Romney leads 50% to 17% among those who consider immigration the highest priority.

Romney is viewed favorably by 69% of Likely Primary Voters, Huckabee by 65% and McCain by 64%. McCain earns favorable reviews from 61% of conservatives likely to vote in the Primary.

McCain is seen as the most electable candidate. Seventy-six percent (76%) say that he would be at least somewhat likely to win if nominated. Sixty-four percent (64%) say the same about Romney and 50% have such confidence in Huckabee. Among conservative voters, 76% believe McCain would have a chance to win while 67% believe Romney would be at least somewhat likely to win.

Following his victory in Florida, McCain moved back on top nationally in the Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll.

New state polling data shows McCain with a solid lead in the winner-take-all state of New Jersey. He also holds modest leads over Romney in California, Connecticut, and Illinois (see summary of Rasmussen Reports Super Tuesday polls).

Rasmussen Markets data gives McCain an % chance of winning the nomination while Mitt Romney is at %. Numbers in this paragraph are from a prediction market, not a poll. Using a trading format where traders "buy and sell" candidates, issues, and news features, the Rasmussen Markets harness competitive passions to provide a reliable leading indicator of upcoming events. We invite you to participate in the Rasmussen Markets. It costs nothing to join and add your voice to the collective wisdom of the market.

A summary of Rasmussen Markets data for Super Tuesday contests is available for both Republicans and Democrats.