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Rasmussen Markets Update: Obama-McCain a Toss-Up
Monday, September 08, 2008
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Since early May, Rasmussen Markets data has shown Barack Obama as the favorite to be the next President of the United States. From the time he wrapped up the Democratic Presidential Nomination on June 3, market expectations have consistently given Obama a roughly 60% chance of victory. However, in the wake of John McCain’s successful Republican National Convention, Obama’s prospects have dimmed. As of 9:30 Eastern Time on Monday morning, September 8, Rasmussen Markets data gave Obama a 50% chance of winning the White House while expectations for a McCain victory are at 49%. These results are updated on a 24/7 basis by market participants and the latest results can be found here. On Monday morning, McCain was favored to win Florida, Obama is seen as the victor in Michigan and Pennsylvania. Ohio is too close to call. On Monday morning, the Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll showed McCain with a statistically insignificant one-point lead. New state polls will be released tonight (Monday) at 6:00 p.m Eastern. Throughout the rest of the week, new state polling on the Presidential race will be released each day at 5:00 p.m. Eastern. RasmussenMarkets.com is a “prediction market” or “futures market” that harnesses competitive passions in a way that becomes a reliable leading indicator of upcoming events. It costs nothing to join and add you voice to the wisdom of the market. RasmussenMarkets.com also provides a platform for you to create your own Fantasy Politics League for your office, club, or blog. Learn more at RasmussenMarkets.com. Rasmussen Reports is an electronic publishing firm specializing in the collection, publication, and distribution of public opinion polling information. The Rasmussen Reports Election Edge™ Premium Service offers the most comprehensive public opinion coverage available anywhere. Scott Rasmussen, president of Rasmussen Reports, has been an independent pollster for more than a decade. TOP STORIESWhat They Told Us: Reviewing Last Week’s Key Polls Public Support for Sotomayor Falls After Supreme Court Reversal Plans for General Motors Might Run Afoul of Public Opinion Americans Still Embrace Ideals from Declaration of Independence Republicans Lead Again on Congressional Ballot Massachusetts: 26% Consider State’s Health Care Reform a Success 56% Don’t Want To Pay More To Fight Global Warming 62% Agree Fourth of July Is One of America’s Most Important Holidays 44% Nationwide Have Unfavorable View of Franken Advertisement
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