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Presidential Hopefuls All Generate More Opposition Than Support
Monday, September 17, 2007
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The seven leading Presidential candidates all have more people committed to voting against them than for them. From 33% to 44% of voters say they will vote against the individual candidates for the White House regardless of who else is on the ballot. The percentage willing to definitely vote for any of these candidates ranges from 16% to 32%. Topping both categories is the best known candidate in the field, the Democratic frontrunner Hillary Clinton. Thirty-two percent (32%) of voters say they will definitely vote for her no matter who else is on the ballot. However, 44% say they will definitely vote against her in November 2008. As with almost all polling on the Clinton candidacy, a huge gender gap exists. Thirty-four percent (34%) of women say they’ll definitely vote for her while 38% will definitely vote against. Among men, just 29% percent will vote for her and 52% take the opposite view. Former Massachusetts Governor Mitt Romney (R) is the only other candidate to have 40% of voters committed to voting against him. He is also the weakest candidate among the top seven in terms of core support. Just 16% say they’ll definitely vote for Romney. Still those numbers are a slight improvement compared to last month. The Republican frontrunners, Fred Thompson and Rudy Giuliani, fall in the middle. Thompson has 23% for and 35% against while Giuliani’s numbers are 25% for and 37% against. For each, that results in a net of minus 12 points, equal to Clinton’s net number. Obama has 23% definitely for him and 37% against (net of minus 14). For Edwards, the numbers are 22% for and 39% against (minus 17). John McCain now has the least core opposition at 33% against. However, just 18% would definitely vote for the man once considered the GOP frontrunner. Other data shows that Clinton and Giuliani are seen as the most electable candidates in their parties. A commentary by Douglas Schoen on this data suggests that Republicans may be a bit dispirited. Thompson is seen as the most conservative Republican while there is little perceived ideological difference among Democrats. Clinton is the most popular Democrat within her party while Giuliani has lost that distinction among Republicans. Clinton and Thompson currently lead in the Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll. Rasmussen Reports is an electronic publishing firm specializing in the collection, publication, and distribution of public opinion polling information. The Rasmussen Reports ElectionEdge™ Premium Service for Election 2008 offers the most comprehensive public opinion coverage ever provided for a Presidential election. Scott Rasmussen, president of Rasmussen Reports, has been an independent pollster for more than a decade.
Survey of 800 Likely Voters
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