New polling data has been released for Pennsylvania. See Video Release. This page will be updated tomorrow (Thursday).

In an early look at potential general election Presidential match-ups in Pennsylvania, Barack Obama leads John McCain while McCain is in a toss-up with Hillary Clinton.

The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey shows Obama attracting 49% of the vote while McCain earns 39%. However, in a McCain-Clinton match-up, the Arizona Senator has a statistically insignificant two-point lead, 44% to 42%.

In Pennsylvania, Clinton leads McCain by six among women but trails by nine among men. Obama leads McCain among both men and women, but has a larger lead among women. McCain wins 69% of the conservative vote when matched against Clinton, 60% against Obama.

Overall, the current figures reflect an improvement for both Democrats since January. At that time McCain led Clinton by six points and Obama by eight. In October, however, Hillary Clinton had a ten point lead over McCain.

Obama is viewed favorably by 63% of Likely Voters in the Keystone State. McCain earns positive reviews from 57% while 52% say the same about Clinton. Those figures reflect a slight increase over the past month for Obama, a modest decline for McCain, and little change for Clinton.

The current figures include 21% with a Very Favorable opinion of Clinton and 28% with a Very Unfavorable opinion.

Thirty-one percent (31%) have a Very Favorable opinion of Obama while 16% have a Very Unfavorable opinion.

For McCain, just 12% have a Very Favorable opinion while 16% have a Very Unfavorable view.

Forty percent (40%) of Pennsylvania voters name the economy as the top voting issue for Election 2008. Rasmussen Reports data nationally shows that Republicans and Democrats have fundamentally different perceptions of the economy.

Obama currently outperforms Clinton in several other recent state polls including Oregon, New Hampshire, Colorado, and Nevada. While these same dynamics are also found in national polling, it should be noted that the state polls were conducted at a time when Obama’s support was spiking following a series of eight straight primary and caucus victories. In Missouri, both Clinton and Obama are essentially even with McCain.

Thirty-one percent (31%) of Pennsylvania voters say President George W. Bush is doing a good or an excellent job. That’s down two percentage points since January. Fifty percent (50%) now say he is doing a poor job.

Governor Ed Rendell (D) earns good or excellent reviews from 43%, up two points from 41% in January. Today, just 24% say he is doing a poor job.

Rasmussen Markets data shows that Democrats are strongly favored to win Pennsylvania’s 21 Electoral College votes (current prices: Democrat % Republican %). Among Democrats, the Markets give Obama a % chance to win the Democratic nomination while expectations for a Clinton victory are at %. Numbers in this paragraph are from a prediction market, not a poll. Using a trading format where traders "buy and sell" candidates, issues, and news features, the Rasmussen Markets harness competitive passions to provide a reliable leading indicator of upcoming events. We invite you to participate in the Rasmussen Markets. It costs nothing to join and add your voice to the collective wisdom of the market.

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