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Clinton Wins Pennsylvania: What’s Next?
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Hillary Clinton, as expected, won the Democratic Presidential Primary in Pennsylvania. Broadly speaking, the results confirm the demographic and racial divides that have been seen throughout the race for the Democratic Presidential nomination. While enough to keep her campaign alive, the victory is not significant enough to fundamentally alter the race. Barack Obama is still the frontrunner and data from Rasmussen Markets suggests that he has a % chance of winning the nomination.

Before voting began in Pennsylvania, Scott Rasmussen noted that Hillary Clinton’s only path to the nomination was to stay close and hope Barack Obama makes a mistake . Following her victory, Clinton unveiled a new approach designed to help force an Obama miscue. As the campaign moves to Indiana and North Carolina, Clinton will try to pressure Obama into another debate. This is a no-lose challenge for her. If Obama agrees to another debate there is an increased chance of a game-changing gaffe. If Obama does not agree to a debate, Clinton will use that fact to raise doubts about Obama’s potential as a general election candidate.

Clinton herself offered this assessment before the polls closed. "I think a win is a win…I think maybe the question ought to be, why can't he close the deal with his extraordinary financial advantage? Why can't he win a state like this one, ... states that Democrats have to win."

Looking ahead, Rasmussen Markets data gives Obama a % chance of winning May 6 in North Carolina. Indiana also votes that day and looks to be more competitive—Clinton is given a % chance of winning among the Hoosiers while Obama has a %.

John McCain leads both Democrats nationally in the Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll. However, Scott Rasmussen notes that the fundamentals in 2008 still favor the Democrats .

New polling released today shows that just 15% of Americans say the nation is better off than it was four years ago. Seventy-five percent (75%) disagree. Data from Rasmussen Markets gives Democrats a % chance of winning the White House in November. A Rasmussen Reports video analysis looks at how comments from the Democratic candidates about raising the capital gains tax will impact Election 2008.

Rasmussen Reports is an electronic publishing firm specializing in the collection, publication, and distribution of public opinion polling information.

The Rasmussen Reports ElectionEdge™ Premium Service for Election 2008 offers the most comprehensive public opinion coverage ever provided for a Presidential election.

Scott Rasmussen, president of Rasmussen Reports, has been an independent pollster for more than a decade.