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Election 2008: New York Presidential Election
New York: Democrats Poised to Win Big
Friday, May 02, 2008
The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey in New York shows Hillary Clinton leading John McCain 60% to 31%. Barack Obama has a seventeen-point advantage over the presumptive Republican nominee, 52% to 35% (see video analysis). For Clinton, the latest poll reflects a significant improvement over the past month. Obama’s numbers are about the same as they were a month ago. Nationally, the Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll shows McCain in a very competitive race with both Clinton and Obama. Both Democrats are viewed favorably by 58% of the state’s voters. McCain earns positive reviews from 50%. Rasmussen Markets shows that Democrats are currently given a % chance of winning the Empire State’s thirty-three Electoral College Votes this fall. John Kerry won the state for the Democrats in 2004 by eighteen points. Four years earlier, Al Gore won the state by twenty-five percentage points. Immediately prior to release of this poll, New York was rated as “Safely Democratic” in the Rasmussen Reports Balance of Power Calculator. Thirty-five percent (35%) of the state’s Democrats believe that Clinton should drop out of the race for their party’s nomination. Nineteen percent (19%) say the same about Obama. Those figures are similar to the national average. Forty-seven percent (47%) of New York voters believe that Clinton would be the stronger candidate against McCain in the fall. Thirty-six percent (36%) see Obama as the stronger general election candidate. New York voters are evenly divided as to who they think will win the nomination—43% say Obama and 40% Clinton. See survey questions and toplines. Crosstabs available for Premium Members only. Advertisment
This telephone survey of 500 Likely Voters was conducted by Rasmussen Reports April 29, 2008. The margin of sampling error for the survey is +/- 4 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. See Methodology.
About Rasmussen Reports Rasmussen Reports is an electronic publishing firm specializing in the collection, publication, and distribution of public opinion polling information. The Rasmussen Reports ElectionEdge™ Premium Service for Election 2008 offers the most comprehensive public opinion coverage ever provided for a Presidential election. Scott Rasmussen, president of Rasmussen Reports, has been an independent pollster for more than a decade. 2008 PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION
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