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Election 2008: New Hampshire Democratic Primary
Final New Hampshire Poll: Obama 37% Clinton 30%
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The final Rasmussen Reports telephone survey in New Hampshire’s Democratic Presidential Primary shows Barack Obama leading Hillary Clinton 37% to 30%.

Clinton has a slight edge among Democrats but the Illinois Senator enjoys a more than 2-to-1 advantage among Independent voters likely to vote in the Democratic Primary.

Among Likely Democratic Primary Voters, the current New Hampshire poll shows John Edwards with 19%, Bill Richardson with 7%, and Dennis Kucinich with 3% support.

Nationally, since Iowa, Clinton’s lead has been shrinking in the Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll. Rasmussen Markets data shows that Obama is favored to win the nomination.

Yesterday’s release showed that Obama is perceived to be a bit more liberal politically than Clinton. Forty percent (40%) of Likely Democratic Primary Voters view Obama as politically liberal while 49% see him as moderate. Clinton is seen as politically liberal by 30% of the primary voters and moderate by 59%.

Rasmussen Markets data suggests that Barack Obama is currently favored to win in New Hampshire. Current prices imply that Obama has a % chance of winning while Clinton has a % chance. Numbers in this paragraph reflect results from a prediction market, not a poll. RasmussenMarkets.com is a “futures market” that harnesses competitive passions to becomes a reliable leading indicator of upcoming events. Using a trading format where traders "buy and sell" candidates, issues, and news features, the markets correctly projected both Obama and Huckabee as the winners in Iowa.

Rasmussen Reports is an electronic publishing firm specializing in the collection, publication, and distribution of public opinion polling information.

The Rasmussen Reports Election Edge™ Premium Service offers the most comprehensive public opinion coverage available anywhere.

Scott Rasmussen, president of Rasmussen Reports, has been an independent pollster for more than a decade.

Survey of 1,774 Likely Dem Primary Voters
January 5-7, 2008

New Hampshire Dem Primary

Barack Obama

37%

Hillary Clinton

30%

John Edwards

19%

Bill Richardson

8%

Dennis Kucinich

3%

Mike Gravel

0%

Latest Results From Rasmussen Markets

 

Obm

Clint

Current

1/7/08

95.0

4.8

1/6/08

90.0

10.0

1/5/08

80.0

20.0

1/4/08

67.0

35.1

1/3/08

45.0

58

1/2/08

47.9

57.5

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