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Missouri Democratic Presidential Primary
Missouri: Clinton 47% Obama 38%
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Matching a trend seen throughout the nation, Barack Obama is gaining ground on Hillary Clinton in Missouri. Over the past week, Obama has picked up ten points on Clinton but still trails by nine in a poll conducted five days before the Primary.

The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey shows Clinton attracting 47% of the vote while Obama earns 39%. Eleven percent (11%) still plan on supporting some other candidate while 4% are undecided. Just 66% of voters are “certain” they have settled on their final choice in this election and events over the final weekend of the campaign could impact the final results.

In a survey conducted just before Obama’s big win in South Carolina, Clinton held a 43% to 24% advantage.

Since his win in South Carolina, Obama has gained ground on Clinton in the Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll. He has also gained ground in a series of states including California, Connecticut, Massachusetts, and Alabama. (see summary of Super Tuesday polls). A Rasmussen Reports analysis earlier in the week noted that the numbers still favored Clinton, but sometimes the numbers don’t matter.

In Missouri, Clinton leads by fifteen points among women and by three points among men.

The former First Lady is viewed favorably by 76% of Likely Primary Voters while Obama earns such positive reviews from 72%.

Forty-six percent (46%) say the economy is the top voting issue. Nineteen percent (19%) name the War in Iraq while 14% say Health Care is the top priority.

Rasmussen Markets data gives Clinton a % chance of winning the Democratic nomination and Obama a % chance. Numbers in this paragraph are from a prediction market, not a poll. Using a trading format where traders "buy and sell" candidates, issues, and news features, the Rasmussen Markets harness competitive passions to provide a reliable leading indicator of upcoming events. We invite you to participate in the Rasmussen Markets. It costs nothing to join and add your voice to the collective wisdom of the market.

A summary of Rasmussen Markets data for Super Tuesday contests is available for both Republicans and Democrats.

Rasmussen Reports is an electronic publishing firm specializing in the collection, publication, and distribution of public opinion polling information.

The Rasmussen Reports ElectionEdge™ Premium Service for Election 2008 offers the most comprehensive public opinion coverage ever provided for a Presidential election.

Scott Rasmussen, president of Rasmussen Reports, has been an independent pollster for more than a decade.

Survey of 507 Likely Democratic Primary Voters
January 31, 2008

Missouri Democratic Primary

Hillary Clinton

47%

Barack Obama

38%

John Edwards

11%

Not Sure

4%

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