Advertisement
|
Advertisement
McCain Falls Behind Clinton, Giuliani-Clinton Still a Toss-Up
Sunday, June 24, 2007
Advertisement
The latest Rasmussen Reports polling shows that Senator Hillary Clinton (D) leads Senator John McCain (R) 46% to 42%. That’s a net loss of ten percentage points for McCain over the past month. In late May, before the immigration debate sent the McCain campaign in a downward spiral, the Senator from Arizona had a six-point lead over the former First Lady. Clinton remains neck-and-neck with another New York politician, Rudy Giuliani. The former Mayor of New York City attracts 46% of the vote while Clinton earns 45% in that match-up. A month ago, Giuliani had a three-point lead over Clinton. Two months ago, they were tied. Among women, Clinton leads both Giuliani and McCain. Giuliani has a six-point edge over Clinton among male voters. McCain has just a one-point lead among men. Both Republicans have a solid lead over Clinton among white voters but Clinton has an overwhelming lead among all other voters. Other polling data shows that 29% of voters would definitely vote for Clinton if she ends up on the ballot in 2008. While that’s the highest level of core support for any candidate, Clinton is also near the top on the other side of the ledger—46% of voters say they will definitely vote against her if she is on the ballot. Twenty-six percent (26%) say they’d definitely vote for Giuliani while 37% would definitely vote against him. The numbers for McCain are much weaker—just 16% would definitely vote for him while 42% would definitely vote against. Clinton remains the clear frontrunner in polling for the Democratic Presidential nomination. Giuliani and McCain were early frontrunners for the Republican Presidential nomination. Giuliani remains one of the frontrunners, locked in a competitive race with newcomer and former Senator Fred Thompson. McCain, however, has fallen to the point where he is struggling to retain double-digit support. Clinton is viewed favorably by 49% of voters and unfavorably by 48%. Her numbers have remained steady and evenly divided all year. For better or worse, the Senator from New York has been very visible on the national political scene for 15 years. Voters have fixed opinions about her and it will take a lot to change those views in either direction. Clinton is viewed favorably by 80% of Democrats, 14% of Republicans, and 51% of those not affiliated with either major party. Overall, 20% of voters have a Very Favorable opinion of her while 30% have a Very Unfavorable view. McCain’s numbers have stabilized after a difficult several weeks. Fifty percent (50%) now have a favorable opinion of the former frontrunner while 45% have an unfavorable opinion. That’s a slight improvement from 48% favorable the week before. However, among GOP voters, just 55% have a favorable opinion of the man once considered the favorite for the Republican Presidential nomination. He is viewed favorably by 49% of Democrats and 45% of those not affiliated with either major party. Giuliani is now viewed favorably by 53% of voters. That’s a drop of ten points from the previous month. While he remains personally popular among Republicans, only 21% of Republican voters view him as politically conservative. Rasmussen Reports continuously updates favorability ratings and general election match-ups for all Republican and Democratic candidates. Also available are continuously updated ratings for Members of Congress, Other Political Figures, and Journalists. Rasmussen Reports releases updated polling data for the Democrats’ nominating contest are updated on Mondays. Republican results are updated every each Tuesday. Crosstabs and Historical Data available for Premium Members only. Rasmussen Reports is an electronic publishing firm specializing in the collection, publication, and distribution of public opinion polling information. The Rasmussen Reports ElectionEdge™ Premium Service for Election 2008 offers the most comprehensive public opinion coverage ever provided for a Presidential election. Scott Rasmussen, president of Rasmussen Reports, has been an independent pollster for more than a decade.
Survey of 792 Likely Voters
TOP STORIESElectoral College: Democrats 200 Republicans 171 Leaners 149 Toss-Up 18 Most Voters Disagree With Harry Reid’s Fossil Fuel Comments Another Month, Another Record Low Approval for President Bush Democrats Retain Huge Party ID Advantage What They Told Us: Reviewing Last Week’s Key Polls Colorado: Obama Has Small Lead Over McCain Most Americans Still Hold These Truths to Be Self-Evident 59% of voters say Constitution is Just Fine; 39% Say it Doesn’t Restrict Government Enough Montana: McCain 48% Obama 43% Advertisement
|
||||||||||||