Friday, September 12, 2008

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Republican challenger Dino Rossi has pulled ahead of Governor Christine Gregoire for the first time since February in Washington’s gubernatorial election. The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey in the state finds Rossi leading the incumbent 52% to 46% (see crosstabs).

The latest numbers represent the first time Rossi has received over 50% from voters in Washington. Last month, Gregoire led the race by four points and she has now lost ground in four straight monthly polls. This year’s election is reminiscent of the exciting match up between the two candidates in 2004 that ended with a controversial win for Gregoire that had to be decided by the state’s courts.

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The incumbent is viewed favorably by 53% and unfavorably by 45%. Her numbers have changed little over the past month. In terms of her job performance, 44% of voters say she is doing a good or excellent job, while 31% say she is doing a poor job.

The Republicans ratings have improved slightly since August. Rossi is viewed favorable by 55%, up from 51% a month ago. Forty-two percent (42%) share an unfavorable view of the challenger, compared to 45% last month.

Rasmussen Markets data shows that Gregoire is currently given a % chance of being re-elected in November. Figures updated on a 24/7basis by market participants. It costs nothing to join and add your voice to the Rasmussen Market results.

The latest Rasmussen numbers for Washington’s presidential race show John McCain has closed the gap between he and Barack Obama in the Evergreen State.

See survey questions and toplines. Crosstabs are available to Premium Members only.