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Wisconsin: Kerry 48% Bush 47%
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In Wisconsin, the latest Rasmussen Reports survey shows Senator John Kerry with 48% of the vote and President George W. Bush with 47%. Libertarian candidate Michael Badnarik and Independent Ralph Nader each earn 1% of the vote.

This latest survey marks a slight shift in Senator Kerry's direction. Weekly updates provided to Premium Members had shown the President with a modest but consistent lead in Wisconsin throughout the month of September and early October. Our last publicly released survey (October 1) found the President ahead by 3 points in Wisconsin.

Four years ago, Bush and Gore each received 48% of the vote in Wisconsin. Gore won the state by fewer than 5,000 votes out of 2.5 million. There is essentially no gender gap in the state for this election--men and women are both equally divided between the candidates.

The state remains in the Toss-Up column for our Electoral College projections. It is one of several "Blue" states carried by Al Gore four years ago that are currently in the Toss-Up category. Others include Iowa, Minnesota, Michigan, New Mexico, and Pennsylvania.

In Wisconsin, 52% have a favorable opinion of President Bush and 51% have a favorable opinion of Senator Kerry. By a 60% to 25% margin, Wisconsin voters favor term limits for politicians.

In Wisconsin, 53% of all voters Approve of the way President Bush is performing his job. That's unchanged from a month ago and near his national Job Approval rating.

Rasmussen Reports is an independent public opinion research firm that provides daily updates on the Presidential election and the nation's economic confidence. We also update our Electoral College projections on a regular basis.

Rasmussen Reports has recently released state election polls for Alabama, Arkansas, California, Colorado, Georgia, Illinois, Indiana, Iowa, Louisiana, Maryland, Michigan, Minnesota, Missouri, Nevada, New Hampshire, New Jersey, New York, North Carolina, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Tennessee, West Virginia, Washington, Virginia, and Wisconsin.

Rasmussen Reports is an electronic publishing firm specializing in the collection, publication, and distribution of public opinion polling information.

The Rasmussen Reports Election Edge™ Premium Service offers the most comprehensive public opinion coverage available anywhere.

Scott Rasmussen, president of Rasmussen Reports, has been an independent pollster for more than a decade.

Survey of 500 Likely Voters

Oct 14, 2004

Wisconsin 2004

Presidential Ballot

Bush

47%

Kerry

48%

Badnarik

1%

Nader

1%

Other

1%

Not Sure

1%

RasmussenReports.com

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