Tennessee was home to the Democrats' Presidential Nominee four years ago. This year, it's next door to the home state of the Democrats' Vice Presidential nominee. Despite those ties to the Democratic ticket, Tennessee's Electoral Votes went to the Republicans four years ago and appear ready to do so again in Election 2004.

President Bush leads Senator Kerry in Tennessee by a margin of 49% to 43% in the latest Rasmussen Reports survey. When "leaners" are included, that lead grows to eight points, Bush 52% to Kerry 44%.

Fifty-five percent (55%) of the state's voters have a favorable opinion of George Bush. Forty-nine percent (49%) say the same about John Kerry.

Even before this survey, Tennessee had been placed in the Bush column for our Electoral College projections. In June, our survey found Bush with 49% of the vote to Kerry's 41%. Four years ago, Bush defeated Al Gore 51% to 47% in Tennessee.

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