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Oregon: Kerry 46% Bush 45%
Monday, April 26, 2004
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Four years ago, Al Gore defeated George W. Bush in Oregon by about 7,000 votes out of more than 1.5 million. The latest Rasmussen Reports survey in Oregon finds that things are just as close today. John Kerry currently has 46% of the vote in Oregon while George W. Bush has 45%. That single point between them is well within the survey's 4.5 percentage point margin of sampling error. Adding Ralph Nader to the list has little net impact. With Nader included, both Bush and Kerry attract 43% of the vote while Nader polls at 8%. Without Nader named as an option, 6% of Oregon voters opted for "some other candidate." Ralph Nader is not included by name in the national Rasmussen Reports Presidential Tracking Poll. We believe it is inappropriate to include Nader unless he attains ballot status in a substantial number of states. Sixty-two percent (62%) of Oregon voters see Bush as politically conservative while 26% see the President as a political moderate. Forty-seven percent (47%) of Oregon voters see Kerry as politically liberal, while 41% say moderate. Regardless of who they will vote for, 49% of Oregon voters think Bush will be re-elected while 32% think Kerry will win. Bush is viewed favorably by 50% of Oregon voters. Kerry is viewed favorably by 48%. Rasmussen Reports has recently released state polling data for the Presidential race in California, New Hampshire, New Jersey, West Virginia, Florida, and Colorado. Earlier surveys were conducted in Washington, Michigan, Minnesota, Pennsylvania, Iowa, Ohio, and Missouri. On a national basis this time around, the Rasmussen Reports Presidential Election Tracking Poll has found Bush and Kerry virtually even for weeks. Rasmussen Reports is an electronic publishing firm specializing in the collection, publication, and distribution of public opinion polling information. The Rasmussen Reports ElectionEdge™ Premium Service for Election 2008 offers the most comprehensive public opinion coverage ever provided for a Presidential election. Scott Rasmussen, president of Rasmussen Reports, has been an independent pollster for more than a decade.
Survey of 500 Likely Voters
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