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Ohio: Kerry 46% Bush 45%
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In Ohio, the latest Rasmussen Reports survey shows Senator Kerry with 46% of the vote and President Bush with 45%. Just one month ago, Bush held a four-point lead in the state, 46% to 42%. The month before, it was Bush 46% Kerry 44% in our Ohio poll.

These latest figures mean that Ohio remains firmly in the "Toss-up" category for our Electoral College projections (we require a five point lead before moving a state from Toss-Up status).

Four years ago, in Election 2000, Ohio went for Bush over Al Gore, 50% Gore 46%.

Currently, Bush is attracting 72% of the conservative vote while Kerry has 83% of the liberal vote. Moderates favor Kerry 55% to 36%.

In Ohio, 54% of all voters Approve of the way President Bush is performing his job. That's up three points from a month ago and above the President's national Job Approval rating.

Data for Ohio will be updated again early next month.

Rasmussen Reports is an independent public opinion research firm that provides daily updates on the Presidential election and the nation's economic confidence.

In August, we have released state election polls for Washington, Maine, Ohio, Florida, Michigan, Oregon, New Jersey, Arkansas, New Mexico, California, Missouri, North Carolina, Virginia, Iowa, Georgia, Illinois, and Minnesota.

Last month, we also issued state election polls for Alabama, Maryland, New York, Oklahoma, and South Carolina.. These states will be updated in the next few days. Polling data from additional states will also be released.

Rasmussen Reports is an electronic publishing firm specializing in the collection, publication, and distribution of public opinion polling information.

The Rasmussen Reports Election Edge™ Premium Service offers the most comprehensive public opinion coverage available anywhere.

Scott Rasmussen, president of Rasmussen Reports, has been an independent pollster for more than a decade.

State data from National Survey of 15,000 Likely Voters

July 1-31, 2004

Ohio 2004

Presidential Ballot

Bush

45%

Kerry

46%

Other

4%

Not Sure

5%

RasmussenReports.com

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