Ohio: Bush 46% Kerry 44%

Wednesday, June 02, 2004

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In Ohio, the latest Rasmussen Reports survey finds President George W. Bush with 46% of the vote to 44% for Senator John F. Kerry. In Election 2000, Bush won Ohio by a margin of 50% to 46% over Al Gore.

The new survey data represents a slight improvement for President Bush since our March survey. That earlier survey, conducted shortly after Kerry wrapped up the Democratic nomination, showed Kerry ahead of Bush, 45% to 41%.

Nationally, the Rasmussen Reports Presidential Tracking Poll also shows the race for President to be a toss-up.

In Ohio, Bush leads among Investors by 7 percentage points. Kerry leads by 4 among non-Investors.

Senator Kerry attracts 76% of the vote from Democrats. President Bush receives 85% of the GOP votes. Kerry has a modest edge among unaffiliated voters in Ohio.

Fifty percent (50%) of Ohio voters Approve of the way President Bush is performing his job while 49% disapprove.

Data for Ohio will updated again early next month. Premium Members can follow trends on a weekly basis (we release composite data for Ohio, Michigan and Pennsylvania every Tuesday).

Rasmussen Reports is an electronic publishing firm specializing in the collection, publication, and distribution of public opinion polling information.

The Rasmussen Reports Election Edge™ Premium Service offers the most comprehensive public opinion coverage available anywhere.

Scott Rasmussen, president of Rasmussen Reports, has been an independent pollster for more than a decade.

This data has been compiled from a national telephone survey of 15,000 Likely Voters conducted by Rasmussen Reports from May 1-31, 2004. Each night (except Mothers’ Day), 500 interviews with Likely Voters were conducted. National results for the survey during that time frame show that President Bush and Senator Kerry each attracted 45% of the vote. State-by-state samples carry a margin of error that varies from +/- 3 percentage points to +/- 5 percentage points depending upon the state. Data for California, Texas, and New York carries a 3 percentage point margin of error. For Florida, Illinois, Pennsylvania, Ohio, and Michigan, the margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points. For all other states, the margin of error is +/- 5 percentage points. In all cases, the margin of error is expressed with a 95% level of confidence. In some states, oversampling and supplemental interviews were used to obtain an adequate sample size for reporting purposes.

State data from National Survey of 15,000 Likely Voters May 1-31, 2004

Ohio 2004 Presidential Ballot
Bush	46%
Kerry	44%
Other	5%
Not Sure	6%
RasmussenReports.com

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