Missouri: Bush 50% Kerry 46%

Tuesday, August 03, 2004

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In Missouri, the latest Rasmussen Reports survey shows President Bush with 50% of the vote and Senator Kerry with 46%. Four years ago, Bush won the state of Missouri by a narrow 50% to 47% margin.

One month ago, our polling found the President with an identical four-point lead and the state was included in our "Toss-Up" category. A mid-month update provided for our Premium Members showed the President's lead increasing to six points in Missouri. Based upon that data, we moved the state to "Leans Bush." Now, with a 4-point margin, we are shifting the state back to "Toss-Up" in our Electoral College projections.

Two months ago, Bush was up by a single point in Missouri, 44% to 43%.

In Missouri, Bush is currently favored by 86% of conservatives while Kerry is favored by 86% of liberals.

In Missouri, 57% of all voters Approve of the way President Bush is performing his job. That's up four points from a month ago and well above his national Job Approval rating.

Data for Missouri will be updated again early next month.

Rasmussen Reports is an electronic publishing firm specializing in the collection, publication, and distribution of public opinion polling information.

The Rasmussen Reports Election Edge™ Premium Service offers the most comprehensive public opinion coverage available anywhere.

Scott Rasmussen, president of Rasmussen Reports, has been an independent pollster for more than a decade.

This data has been compiled from a national telephone survey of 15,000 Likely Voters conducted by Rasmussen Reports from July 1-31, 2004. Each night, 500 interviews with Likely Voters were conducted. National results for the survey during that time frame show that President Bush and Senator Kerry each attracted 45% of the vote. State-by-state samples carry a margin of error that varies from +/- 3 percentage points to +/- 5 percentage points depending upon the state. Data for California, Texas, and New York carries a 3 percentage point margin of error. For Florida, Illinois, Pennsylvania, Ohio, and Michigan, the margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points. For all other states, the margin of error is +/- 5 percentage points. In all cases, the margin of error is expressed with a 95% level of confidence. In some states, oversampling and supplemental interviews were used to obtain an adequate sample size for reporting purposes.

Survey of 15,000 Likely Voters
July 1-31, 2004

Missouri 2004 Presidential Ballot
Bush	50%
Kerry	46%
Other	2%
Not Sure	2%
RasmussenReports.com

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