Minnesota: Kerry 49% Bush 42%

Wednesday, August 04, 2004

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In Minnesota, the latest Rasmussen Reports survey shows Senator Kerry with 49% of the vote and President Bush with 42%. That's two points closer than a month ago.

Two months ago, our Minnesota poll found Kerry ahead by five points, 48% to 43%. All of those polls show a more comfortable lead for the Senator than Al Gore's 2 point margin of victory in the state four years ago, Minnesota remains safely in the Kerry column for our Electoral College projections.

In Minnesota, Kerry leads 49% to 44% among Investors and by 50% to 39% among non-Investors.

Forty-eight percent (48%) of all Minnesota voters Approve of the way President Bush is performing his job. That's up a point from a month ago, but still below his national Job Approval rating.

Data for Minnesota will be updated again early next month

Rasmussen Reports is an electronic publishing firm specializing in the collection, publication, and distribution of public opinion polling information.

The Rasmussen Reports Election Edge™ Premium Service offers the most comprehensive public opinion coverage available anywhere.

Scott Rasmussen, president of Rasmussen Reports, has been an independent pollster for more than a decade.

This data has been compiled from a national telephone survey of 15,000 Likely Voters conducted by Rasmussen Reports from July 1-31, 2004. Each night, 500 interviews with Likely Voters were conducted. National results for the survey during that time frame show that President Bush and Senator Kerry each attracted 45% of the vote. State-by-state samples carry a margin of error that varies from +/- 3 percentage points to +/- 5 percentage points depending upon the state. Data for California, Texas, and New York carries a 3 percentage point margin of error. For Florida, Illinois, Pennsylvania, Ohio, and Michigan, the margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points. For all other states, the margin of error is +/- 5 percentage points. In all cases, the margin of error is expressed with a 95% level of confidence. In some states, oversampling and supplemental interviews were used to obtain an adequate sample size for reporting purposes.

Survey of 15,000 Likely Voters
July 1-31, 2004

Minnesota 2004 Presidential Ballot
Bush	42%
Kerry	49%
Other	2%
Not Sure	7%
RasmussenReports.com

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