In Michigan, the latest Rasmussen Reports survey shows Senator Kerry with 50% of the vote and President Bush with 44%. Four years ago, Al Gore defeated Bush to carry Michigan by a 51% to 46% margin.

Last month, Kerry had a two-point lead in Michigan, 46% to 44%. At that time, we considered the state a Toss-Up for our Electoral College projections (we require a five-point lead before moving a state from Toss-Up status).

However, our mid-month update for Premium Members found Kerry ahead by six points. At that time, we moved Michigan to the "Leans Kerry" column. These latest results confirm that Michigan is still leaning slightly in the Democratic direction.

[NOTE: More recent data for Michigan, provided to our Premium Members, shows that the state has drifted back to Toss-Up status in mid-August. The next public update of Michigan polling data will come in the first week of September.]

Two months ago, it was Kerry 47% Bush 41% in our Michigan poll.

In Michigan, Kerry leads by four points among men and seven points among women.

In Michigan, 49% of all voters Approve of the way President Bush is performing his job. That's up a single point from a month ago and two points from the month before that. It is still a bit below his national Job Approval rating.

Data for Michigan will be updated again early next month.

Rasmussen Reports is an independent public opinion research firm that provides daily updates on the Presidential election and the nation's economic confidence.

In August, we have released state election polls for Washington, Maine, Ohio, Florida, Michigan, Oregon, New Jersey, Arkansas, New Mexico, California, Missouri, North Carolina, Virginia, Iowa, Georgia, Illinois, and Minnesota.

Last month, we also issued state election polls for Alabama, Maryland, New York, Oklahoma, and South Carolina.. These states will be updated in the next few days. Polling data from additional states will also be released.