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Iowa: Kerry 48% Bush 44%
Thursday, July 08, 2004
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In Iowa, President Bush has gained ground over the past month but still trails Senator Kerry 48% to 44%. Our last Iowa survey found Kerry leading by eight percentage points, 49% to 41%. As a result, we are moving Iowa from "Leans Kerry" to the "Toss-up" category for our Electoral College projections. Four years ago, Al Gore narrowly carried Iowa by a 49% to 48% margin. Kerry became the frontrunner for the Democratic nomination by winning the Iowa caucuses. Iowa Governor Thomas Vilsack was reportedly on the short-list that Kerry is considering for his Vice-Presidential running mate. Kerry has secured the vote from 89% of Iowa Democrats while Bush has done the same with 86% of the state's Republicans. Among those who are not affiliated with either political party, Kerry leads 43% to 39%. In Iowa, 54% of all voters Approve of the way President Bush is performing his job. That's up nine points down a point from a month ago and slightly above his national Job Approval rating. Among voters who are not affiliated with either major political party, 58% give the President's performance their Approval. Data for Iowa will be updated again early next month. Our recent state releases included Alabama, Arkansas, California, Florida, Georgia, Illinois, Iowa, Maine, Maryland, Massachusetts, Minnesota, Missouri, New Jersey, New York, North Carolina, Ohio, Oklahoma, Oregon, Pennsylvania, South Carolina, Texas, Virginia, and Washington. Rasmussen Reports is an electronic publishing firm specializing in the collection, publication, and distribution of public opinion polling information. The Rasmussen Reports ElectionEdge™ Premium Service for Election 2008 offers the most comprehensive public opinion coverage ever provided for a Presidential election. Scott Rasmussen, president of Rasmussen Reports, has been an independent pollster for more than a decade.
Survey of 15,000 Likely Voters
TOP STORIESElectoral College: Democrats 200 Republicans 171 Leaners 149 Toss-Up 18 Most Voters Disagree With Harry Reid’s Fossil Fuel Comments Another Month, Another Record Low Approval for President Bush Democrats Retain Huge Party ID Advantage What They Told Us: Reviewing Last Week’s Key Polls Colorado: Obama Has Small Lead Over McCain Most Americans Still Hold These Truths to Be Self-Evident 59% of voters say Constitution is Just Fine; 39% Say it Doesn’t Restrict Government Enough Montana: McCain 48% Obama 43% Advertisement
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