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Florida: Bush 50% Kerry 45%
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In Florida, the most infamous Toss-Up State of Election 2000, President George Bush has the lead heading into the final weekend of Election 2004.

A Rasmussen Reports survey conducted Wednesday night found the President with 50% of the vote and Senator John Kerry with 45%.

That survey is separate from our daily Florida Tracking Polls provided to Premium Members. Our daily Tracking Poll shows the President ahead by a smaller margin. As a result of that daily poll and the state's history, we will leave Florida in the Toss-Up status for our Electoral College projections.

Fifty-two percent (52%) of Florida voters have a favorable opinion of the President. Forty-seven percent (47%) say the same about Senator Kerry.

Regardless of who they want to win, 54% believe the President will be re-elected.

Florida is the largest Toss-Up state available in Electoral 2004. Along with Michigan, Ohio, and Pennsylvania, it is one four Battleground states that account for the bulk of the Electoral Votes currently in play.

Rasmussen Reports Premium Members receive daily Tracking Poll updates for all four of these states plus Minnesota. Michigan currently is leaning in Kerry's direction. The other states are all currently in the Toss-Up category.

In Florida, 53% of all voters Approve of the way President Bush is performing his job.

Rasmussen Reports is an independent public opinion research firm that provides daily updates on the Presidential election and the nation's economic confidence. We also update our Electoral College projections on a regular basis.

Rasmussen Reports has recently released state election polls for Alabama, Arkansas, California, Colorado, Florida, Georgia, Illinois, Indiana, Iowa, Louisiana, Maryland, Michigan, Minnesota, Missouri, Nevada, New Hampshire, New Jersey, New York, North Carolina, Ohio, Oregon, Pennsylvania, Tennessee, West Virginia, Washington, Virginia, and Wisconsin.

Rasmussen Reports is an electronic publishing firm specializing in the collection, publication, and distribution of public opinion polling information.

The Rasmussen Reports ElectionEdge™ Premium Service for Election 2008 offers the most comprehensive public opinion coverage ever provided for a Presidential election.

Scott Rasmussen, president of Rasmussen Reports, has been an independent pollster for more than a decade.

Survey of 500 Likely Voters
Oct 27, 2004

Florida 2004

Presidential Ballot

Bush

50%

Kerry

45%

Other

2%

Not Sure

3%

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