Regardless of who they plan to vote for, 53% of American voters believe President Bush will be re-elected. A Rasmussen Reports survey found that 35% take the opposite view and the Senator John Kerry will emerge victorious.

Fifty nine percent (59%) of men expect Bush to win while 29% think Kerry will be sworn into office next January 20. Women are more evenly divided but a plurality still expect a Bush victory (48% to 40%).

Not surprisingly, there are huge partisan differences on this question. Generally, Republicans and Bush supporters are more confident than Democrats and Kerry supporters.

It has been more than 100 days since John Kerry wrapped up the Democratic nomination. For every one of those days, both candidates have been at or near the 45% mark in the daily Rasmussen Reports Presidential Tracking Poll.