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U.S. Voters More Optimistic About Egypt Following Mubarak’s Exit

Monday, February 14, 2011

Since former Egyptian president Hosni Mubarak decided to step down Friday after weeks of national protests, U.S. voter confidence about the transition’s impact on the United States has increased.

The latest Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey conducted the two nights following Mubarak’s announcement shows that 29% of Likely Voters believe the change in the government of Egypt will be good for the United States, up eight points from a week ago.  (To see survey question wording, click here.)

Two weeks ago, just five percent (5%) of all Adults thought it would be good for the United States if the government in Egypt was overthrown.

Twenty percent (20%) now say the change will have a negative impact on the United States, while another 16% say it will have no impact. But 35% aren’t sure what kind of impact, if any, the Egyptian change in government will have on the U.S.

Fifty-four percent (54%) of voters believe it is at least somewhat likely that Egypt will become a free, democratic and peaceful nation over the next few years. Thirty-one percent (31%) do not see this outcome as likely, while 15% are not sure. Those results include 16% who say it is Very Likely Egypt will reach this goal and eight percent (8%) who say that’s Not At All Likely to happen.

Voters are a bit less optimistic when it comes to the Egyptian transition’s impact on Israel. While 24% say the change in government will be good for Israel, 30% say it will be bad. Eleven percent (11%) say the change will have no impact on Israel, but 35% are undecided.

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The survey of 1,000 Likely Voters was conducted on February 12-13, 2011 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 3 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

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