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62% Predict 'Arab Spring' Nations Will Not Soon Become Free and Democratic

Tuesday, May 15, 2012

New governments are being established as a result of last year’s so-called “Arab Spring" revolt, but most Americans don’t expect them to become peaceful and democratic any time soon.

A new Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey finds that just 27% of Likely U.S. Voters believes it’s at least somewhat likely that countries such as Egypt, Libya and Tunisia will become free, democratic and peaceful over the next few years.  That includes only three percent (3%) who say it’s Very Likely. Sixty-two percent (62%) think such a transformation is unlikely, with 16% who say it’s Not At All Likely to occur.  (To see survey question wording, click here.)

The survey of 1,000 Likely Voters was conducted on May 10-11, 2012 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 3 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

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