Rasmussen Reports
The most comprehensive public opinion coverage ever provided for a mid-term election.
Premium MembershipLoginSignup
Search
Sign up for free daily updates
Advertisement
Advertisement

Poll: 57% Say War With Iran Likely
Advertisement

Fifty-seven percent (57%) of American adults say it is at least somewhat likely that the United States will be at war with Iran before another year goes by (see crosstabs).

A Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey of 1,000 adults found that 23% believe that War with Iran is Very Likely. Another 34% say it is Somewhat Likely. Thirty-two percent (32%) disagree and say War with Iran is Not Very Likely (26%) or Not at All Likely (6%).

Fifty-five percent (55%) of Republicans believe war is likely along with 59% of Democrats. Younger Americans are more likely to believe that war is coming than their elders.

The survey also found that 75% of Americans believe it’s likely that Iran will soon develop nuclear weapons. That figure is little changed since last September.

Thirty-five percent (35%) of Americans believe it is possible to prevent Iran from developing nuclear weapons while 37% disagree. However, just 27% believe diplomatic efforts will be enough to stop Iran from creating nuclear weapons. Forty-three percent (43%) disagree.

Among women, there is no gap between those who say Iran can be stopped and those who say diplomatic efforts can stop them. Among men, however, 45% believe Iran can be stopped. Only 29% believe diplomacy can do so.

Among Democrats, only 29% say that Iran can be prevented from developing nuclear weapons. However, that figure jumps to 34% when asked if diplomatic efforts could accomplish the task.

Republicans and those not affiliated with either major party have a different assessment. Forty-two percent (42%) of Republicans believe that Iran can be stopped, but only 24% believe diplomacy can achieve that result. Among unaffiliateds, those numbers are 36% and 22% respectively.

Separate surveys show that Americans remain quite pessimistic about the War on Terror. Just 37% now believe that the U.S. and its allies are winning and only 33% believe the President’s troop surge will succeed.

Crosstabs available for Premium Members only.

Rasmussen Reports is an electronic publishing firm specializing in the collection, publication, and distribution of public opinion polling information.

The Rasmussen Reports ElectionEdge™ Premium Service for Election 2008 offers the most comprehensive public opinion coverage ever provided for a Presidential election.

Scott Rasmussen, president of Rasmussen Reports, has been an independent pollster for more than a decade.

Survey of 1,000 Adults
February 2-3, 2007

How likely is it that Iran will soon develop nuclear weapons?

Very Likely

42%

Somewhat Likely

33%

Not Very Likely

11%

Not at All Likely

2%

How likely is it that the United States will be at war with Iran within the next year?

Very Likely

23%

Somewhat Likely

34%

Not Very Likely

26%

Not at All Likely

6%

TOP STORIES

Daily Presidential Tracking Poll

Electoral College: Democrats 210 Republicans 165 Leaners 125 Toss-Up 38

Biden Seen as Frontrunner for VP Nomination

What They Told Us: Reviewing Last Week’s Key Polls

49% Say Hillary Likely to Overshadow Obama at Convention

Democrats Lead by Ten on Generic Ballot

Bush Job Approval: One Point Above All-Time Low

37% Say African-Americans Face More Discrimination than Women

Senator who Births Babies gets Boost from Voters

The Democratic Ground Game: Can New Voters Make the Difference? By Justin M. Sizemore

Advertisement