Friday, August 14, 2015
August is traditionally a vacation month, and East Coast elites, following European tradition, are thick on the ground in the Hamptons, Martha's Vineyard (the Obamas' choice) and Nantucket.
But news -- in some cases, shattering news -- keeps breaking out all over, at home and abroad this August. Actually that's not unusual. Saddam Hussein overran Kuwait in August 1990; Hitler ordered the invasion of Poland in August 1939; the great powers of Europe went to war in August 1914.
Nothing quite so momentous has happened so far this August. But the political world seems to be spinning out of control.
Thus last week 24 million Americans watched the Fox News Republican 9 p.m. Thursday presidential debate, an unprecedentedly enormous audience. And 6 million watched the 5 p.m. debate featuring candidates with low poll numbers. That's 5 o'clock Eastern, 4 Central, 3 Mountain, 2 Pacific. How many Americans usually watch political debates at that hour?
Undoubtedly many, perhaps most, of the 24 million tuned in to see celebrity billionaire Donald Trump, and they got quite a show that night and for days after from Trump's twittersnit at Fox's Megyn Kelly.
But what did viewers think of the other 16 candidates? There's no way to know for sure, but polls show Trump's support ebbing a bit, with others (Carly Fiorina, Marco Rubio) moving up. Republican voters -- and there may be a lot more of them than in past years -- seem to be shopping around, kicking tires and checking out the odometers.
Even bigger news came from the Democratic side when Hillary Clinton, finally and more than two years after leaving office, turned over her private email server to the FBI. Nothing criminal about the investigation, Team Hillary says, and a media apologist says that the FBI is not investigating Hillary, but only Hillary's conduct.
This came after the revelation from the intelligence community's inspector general that two of a small number of Clinton emails examined included information then classified as "top secret," the second-highest level of classification. So much for her flat denial in March that she ever transmitted classified information on her home email system.
I think that in an age where so much information is flying through cyberspace, one expert said as the court-martial of Bradley (now Chelsea) Manning opened in 2011, "we all have to be aware of the fact that some information which is sensitive, which does affect the security of individuals and relationships, deserves to be protected, and we will continue to take the necessary steps to do so."
That expert was Secretary of State Hillary Clinton, as quoted by Glenn Greenwald. Greenwald, a defender of Manning, has a point when he criticizes the Obama administration for "wildly overzealous" prosecution of lower-level officials for mishandling classified information. And he has a point when he argues that by the same standard Clinton would be facing prosecution herself.
Now many Democrats are still prepared to vote for Clinton on the grounds that, even if she lied and cheated about emails, a Republican's policies would be worse for the country. That's an intellectually defensible position, though it suggests a certain discomfort.
Which may explain the latest Boston Herald/Franklin Pierce poll, which showed Clinton trailing Vermont Senator Bernie Sanders 44 to 37 percent in New Hampshire. Conservative analysts may be exaggerating Clinton's plight when they ask whether her campaign is "imploding." But it sure ain't having a good week.
Sanders, meanwhile, is attracting huge crowds on the West Coast -- much larger than Clinton's or any Republican's -- with some 27,000 cheering him on in Los Angeles. He has clearly struck a chord with a high-education, all-white constituency.
But he also has some problems. He has been shouted down and off the stage by Black Lives Matter protesters, one of whom demanded four-and-a-half minutes of silence for Michael Brown, shot a year ago in Ferguson, Missouri. But what the protesters -- and Sanders -- failed to note is that all the evidence indicates that Brown was shot after robbing a convenience store and assaulting a policeman, whom the Obama Department of Justice decided, rightly, not to prosecute.
Clinton later met with Black Lives Matter leaders, though as is her wont behind the range of cameras and microphones. Her near-unanimous support among black voters is her trump card against a Sanders insurgency.
Hillary Clinton, like Donald Trump, has the strength of being incapable of embarrassment. But voters might prefer presidents who don't embarrass themselves so often.
Michael Barone, senior political analyst at the Washington Examiner (www.washingtonexaminer.com), where this article first appeared, is a resident fellow at the American Enterprise Institute, a Fox News Channel contributor and a co-author of The Almanac of American Politics. To find out more about Michael Barone, and read features by other Creators writers and cartoonists, visit the Creators Syndicate Web page at www.creators.com.
COPYRIGHT 2015 WASHINGTON EXAMINER
DISTRIBUTED BY CREATORS.COM
See Other Political Commentary.
See Other Commentaries by Michael Barone.
Views expressed in this column are those of the author, not those of Rasmussen Reports.
Rasmussen Reports is a media company specializing in the collection, publication and distribution of public opinion information.
We conduct public opinion polls on a variety of topics to inform our audience on events in the news and other topics of interest. To ensure editorial control and independence, we pay for the polls ourselves and generate revenue through the sale of subscriptions, sponsorships, and advertising. Nightly polling on politics, business and lifestyle topics provides the content to update the Rasmussen Reports web site many times each day. If it's in the news, it's in our polls. Additionally, the data drives a daily update newsletter and various media outlets across the country.
Some information, including the Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll and commentaries are available for free to the general public. Subscriptions are available for $4.95 a month or 34.95 a year that provide subscribers with exclusive access to more than 20 stories per week on upcoming elections, consumer confidence, and issues that affect us all. For those who are really into the numbers, Platinum Members can review demographic crosstabs and a full history of our data.
To learn more about our methodology, click here.